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So now what do you project for the # of wins for 2014?

Redskins Rick

How many wins?  

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  1. 1. How many wins?

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Lose to the Cardinals in the World Series, 4 games to 3.

93 wins, but losing the WS. UGHHHHHH.

Rick, if we make it to the World Series and lose this season, people will wonder if I'm an alien being ........ they probably are ALREADY wondering that, but if that happens (and ESPECIALLY if we wind up playing the Cardinals), that will seal the deal.


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Rick, if we make it to the World Series and lose this season, people will wonder if I'm an alien being ........ they probably are ALREADY wondering that, but if that happens (and ESPECIALLY if we wind up playing the Cardinals), that will seal the deal.


Now that is funny.

Look, if the Orioles end up in the WS playing the Cardinals, then maybe OH should all pool our money and buy you a 81 game season ticket plan. :)

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A season can go 5 wins or losses in either direction. I originally had this club as around 81-82 W. I'm guessing Jimenez is something to the tune of 2-3 wins, so probably 84-85. If our bullpen performs better, I can see us winning more. Anyways, there's that.

I agree with the first sentence which is why I think it is better to look at predicted records in terms of a range rather than exact numbers. I think what the Jimenez and Yoon moves did more than anything was chip away at the floor of the Orioles projected win range rather than necessarily add a lot of the ceiling.

I think before these signings we had a pretty wide range of outcomes, maybe something like 78 to 92 wins. I know that seems like a cop out but there was a lot of uncertainty in the back end of the rotation and with the starters we had in reserve. Now the Orioles are going to into the season with 4 pitchers who are strong bets to put up 2.0+ rWAR based on their track records and another (Norris) who is likely good for around 1.0 rWAR. That is the kind of stability they have lacked for a long time. Yoon gives them a pretty good sixth option, pushes Gausman back to being a great mid-year option, ect. In all, the signings remove some of the downside. I have a hard time saying that Jimenez and Yoon add 3 wins to the ceiling, but I think they do chip away quite a bit at the floor because we now a more stable starting five and better reserve options which lessens the chances of the floor dropping out.

I'd say the O's are now somewhere in the 83 - 93 win range, although I imagine I was less down on their chances before these acquisitions than most were around here.

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