Jump to content

TT: Orioles Games of Thrones and the Way Forward


Tony-OH

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, wildcard said:

By who.   The expects that rank minor leaguers completely missed on Mancini.   And they admit it now.

No, they did not. The drafted him in a pay slot. Out of college. And he has overperformed as a DH/1B because he has played Left field at the MLB level. He his well. He has no real ceiling beyond where he is. Which is why you draft guys in the top rounds. To hope they contribute. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 338
  • Created
  • Last Reply
4 minutes ago, wildcard said:

By who.   The expects that rank minor leaguers completely missed on Mancini.   And they admit it now.

Well, name it.

Scouts, front office execs, scouty publications.

I give most of my weight to the guys I know and try scouty media as a general perspective. That said, there is a lot of value in that scouty media. That is a quantitative given. They do a decent job. If your test is a miss, then you have an overly sensitive test.

Again though, dont rely on scouty media. Get out there and talk to actual people working in the industry.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, wildcard said:

I really negative perspective on your part.   

Harvey in a first rounder who is now healthy and doing well at AAA.  He has the pitches to be a top of the rotation starter.  He could be in the majors later this year.

 

 

He's at Bowie.

While I am not discouraged by his performance at AA I don't see anything screaming promote this guy to the majors.  Let him get a full season under him.  See how things shake out next spring.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

He's at Bowie.

While I am not discouraged by his performance at AA I don't see anything screaming promote this guy to the majors.  Let him get a full season under him.  See how things shake out next spring.

I bet he is in the majors before the season is over.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, wildcard said:

By who.   The expects that rank minor leaguers completely missed on Mancini.   And they admit it now.

I think your assessment is a little rosy.    I don’t spend a lot of time (zero, actually) studying other teams’ farm systems, but the people who do are not that thrilled with where we stand comparatively.    Most of the pitching talent is three years away and a lot of bumps in the road can come along the way.   There’s nothing on the horizon for the infield, where we have glaring needs.    The OF candidates are pretty strong but I’m really disappointed that Hays has taken a huge step backwards so far.

As to the pundits missing on Mancini, we’ll see how badly they missed.   Right now he has a .763 OPS and his defense has been bad enough that he’s been worth -0.3 rWAR so far.    He had a .765 OPS in the second half of last year.   If that’s what he is, that’s nothing to write home about.   For the record, I think he’s a better hitter than he’s shown so far this year, but I don’t think he’s the stud some around here seem to believe he is, either.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

He's at Bowie.

While I am not discouraged by his performance at AA I don't see anything screaming promote this guy to the majors.  Let him get a full season under him.  See how things shake out next spring.

Yeah at this point, he is a two pitch pitcher at the MLB level. He couldbe a decent reliever now. He can be a lot more than that, but the uncertainty surrounding him is quite a bit. 

Regarding an earlier comment by someone else, I am unsure why anyone would more where he was drafted. He is a real live boy. No need to note where people noted his ceiling years ago.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, weams said:

Catching is not five deep. At all. Not three deep. 

Sisco in the a starting catcher in training as a rookie should be.   Joseph is a good mentor.   He can hit.  Pitchers say he calls a good game.   If pitchers are faster to the plate for him .... well they should be.

Joseph calls a good game and is a leader on the field.  I don't know how long he stays at the major league level with the catcher behind him.   He is a good mentor.  He has 3 options.  Doesn't hit that well or consistently which may cost him next year.

Susac  is a former 2nd rounder  who has had injury problems.  Still does which is why the O's need depth behind  him.   He is hitting well at Norfolk which is no easy task.   He is good defensively and  would make a good backup catcher.

Wynns may be the best defensive catcher of the bunch.  Great arm.  He hits well for OBP.  Pitchers love to throw to him.  He would be a very good backup catcher in the majors. He has two options left after this year.

Audry Perez is an experienced catcher with good defensive skills.  29 years old he has been passed over because of his age.  He is hitting well this year and has for the last two years.  He would be a good backup catcher for a major league team right now.

That is 5 catchers who probably all belong in the majors today.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I think your assessment is a little rosy.    I don’t spend a lot of time (zero, actually) studying other teams’ farm systems, but the people who do are not that thrilled with where we stand comparatively.    Most of the pitching talent is three years away and a lot of bumps in the road can come along the way.   There’s nothing on the horizon for the infield, where we have glaring needs.    The OF candidates are pretty strong but I’m really disappointed that Hays has taken a huge step backwards so far.

As to the pundits missing on Mancini, we’ll see how badly they missed.   Right now he has a .763 OPS and his defense has been bad enough that he’s been worth -0.3 rWAR so far.    He had a .765 OPS in the second half of last year.   If that’s what he is, that’s nothing to write home about.   For the record, I think he’s a better hitter than he’s shown so far this year, but I don’t think he’s the stud some around here seem to believe he is, either.   

I agree. I am thrilled he is a major leaguer. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, wildcard said:

Sisco in the a starting catcher in training as a rookie should be.   Joseph is a good mentor.   He can hit.  Pitchers say he calls a good game.   If pitchers are faster to the plate for him .... well they should be.

Joseph calls a good game and is a leader on the field.  I don't know how long he stays at the major league level with the catcher behind him.   He is a good mentor.  He has 3 options.  Doesn't hit that well or consistently which may cost him next year.

Susac  is a former 2nd rounder  who has had injury problems.  Still does which is why the O's need depth behind  him.   He is hitting well at Norfolk which is no easy task.   He is good defensively and  would make a good backup catcher.

Wynns may be the best defensive catcher of the bunch.  Great arm.  He hits well for OBP.  Pitchers love to throw to him.  He would be a very good backup catcher in the majors. He has two options left after this year.

Audry Perez is an experienced catcher with good defensive skills.  29 years old he has been passed over because of his age.  He is hitting well this year and has for the last two years.  He would be a good backup catcher for a major league team right now.

That is 5 catchers who probably all belong in the majors today.

I think Sisco and Susac are MLB catchers. Maybe starters. 

The others only because of necessity. 

Tony likes Joseph and I respect that. So I'll say no more. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Sisco in the a starting catcher in training as a rookie should be.   Joseph is a good mentor.   He can hit.  Pitchers say he calls a good game.   If pitchers are faster to the plate for him .... well they should be.

Joseph calls a good game and is a leader on the field.  I don't know how long he stays at the major league level with the catcher behind him.   He is a good mentor.  He has 3 options.  Doesn't hit that well or consistently which may cost him next year.

Susac  is a former 2nd rounder  who has had injury problems.  Still does which is why the O's need depth behind  him.   He is hitting well at Norfolk which is no easy task.   He is good defensively and  would make a good backup catcher.

Wynns may be the best defensive catcher of the bunch.  Great arm.  He hits well for OBP.  Pitchers love to throw to him.  He would be a very good backup catcher in the majors. He has two options left after this year.

Audry Perez is an experienced catcher with good defensive skills.  29 years old he has been passed over because of his age.  He is hitting well this year and has for the last two years.  He would be a good backup catcher for a major league team right now.

That is 5 catchers who probably all belong in the majors today.

OK...based on this. Man, what team does not ride five deep?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • Another successful all Oriole grid, 36 rarity points:
    • He was allowed to face LHP.  My post wasn’t disagreeing with your post.  I was saying that not only did we let him face LHP, we let him do so despite not having much success against LHP.  I was pushing back against the narrative that we needlessly platooned Cowser.  Not only did we not platoon him, there is a reasonable argument that we should have platooned more than we did. We needed to play one of Mullins and Cowser in CF. Cowser mostly got the call vs. LHP because he was much better against LHP in the first half of the year, but this flipped in the second half.
    • From Adley to Basallo, I think Elias has eight Bats I hope we get to see all take 600 PA simultaneously some season. Adley was born in 1998, and until he arrived Elias Orioles baseball was bad by design.    For flavor, leaders of those teams like 1994-1997 births Mullins, Santander, Hays and Mountcastle are all between 10th and 20th among bats born their year.   Your team might be drafting Jackson Holliday if they are your club's best players in a rebuild, unless you have great pitching, which...haha, we know Elias' game. MLB Baseball is mostly played by guys 24-32.    286 batters cleared 300 PA in 2024 - about 12% were 33 and up by Fangraphs seasonal age assignments, about 8% were 23 and down. This is just a once a year post, but looking at Bats born from Adley's 1998 to Basallo's 2004, here's how the Orioles achievements compare with MLB's best by rWAR. 1998 - Adley is 4th 1999 - Westburg is 9th, and Kjerstad is 33rd 2000 - Cowser is 16th 2001 - Gunnar is 1st, and Mayo is nearly last, having dug a deep hole in his initial PA.    Trivia - Darell Hernaiz one of the 3 beneath Mayo.    Noelvi Marte dead last also has a PED suspension, d'oh. 2003 - Holliday is 4th - Minnesota the last weekend he got himself out of negative WAR territory. 2004 - Basallo is n/a as Chourio alone has played MLB from that birth year.    Basallo did log the most high minors experience of the 2004 births during the 2024 season. In 2025, Gunnar enters the 24-32 range as Judge departs it.     Cowser's improvement after an off-season a story of comfort for Holliday and Mayo - can they approach his ~3.5 win contribution? Strong, young teams - doing this exercise highlighted Adley's Orioles a little younger than the Braves and all their famous contract extensions.    Acuna, Albies and Riley were all born the year before Adley.   On the AL side of the competition, Yordan and Kyle Tucker also 1997 holding up a strong competitor, though not one that is young anymore.     Judge and Gerrit hoping Soto please stays.    Soto from 1998 - you have to reach back to 1994 for Correa, Bregman and C. Seager to find anyone ahead of him.
    • The Orioles have a lot of flexibility both in terms of prospects, money and potential veterans that hold value. Vets - I could see the Orioles moving on from any of Mountcastle, Mullins, Urias, or O'Hearn. These players may hold the most potential to bullpen upgrades. Money - The Orioles will certainly spend this offseason and that more flexibility than they have had.  I would like to see 1 or 2 extensions, 1 high profile FA, and maybe 1 more solid addition. Prospects - I could see any of the big 4 going somewhere.  I really think the Orioles and Pirates match up really well.  The Pirates have a plethora of young pitchers and the Orioles have young hitters.  I wouldn't be surprised to see the two match up.
    • The hitting philosophy works. That’s why they have been winning the last two years.     Plenty of runs scoring off HR’s in the playoffs. 
    • They would probably want two of Mayo, Basallo, Holliday, and Kjerstad, plus other pieces (likely at least one good pitching prospect, so someone like Povich or McDermott), for both Crochet and Robert.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...