BP's 101

[Just Regular]

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/56649/2020-prospects-the-top-101-wander-franco-jo-adell-gavin-lux/

A divergent opinion.  Again just 3 Orioles in their overall, but this time it is DL Hall off the list (4, 45, and a bullish 57 on Mountcastle, just ahead of LTC signee and possible Opening Day Mariners 1B Evan White).

Most of the Top 10's everywhere have half or more guys likely to exhaust eligibility this year, so next year's #1 race seems to start with Franco v. Rutschman v. Mariners.

[Just Regular]

Hall was profiled in the B story of Next Ten who didn't make it, which mentioned he was their #92 last year.

No surprise the big control concerns (spray and pray a new rhyme to me) are the report's reservation, and the two paragraphs:

-don't mention any context that he was working on stuff

-highlight the Curve and don't mention the Change at all, though I know Luke reminded me recently Hall's change is as good as Rodriguez's in the OH's evaluation.

 

[Frobby]

I’m surprised Hall is off their list considering how highly he’s ranked elsewhere.   But, we’ll see how he progresses this year.    

[LookinUp]

Agree. Seems like Hall's stuff is electric, but his production didn't match the stuff so he fell. If he produces like we all hope, he should move way up. I guess that's a pretty big if at this point, but I'm still very bullish. 

[Spl51]

If you just scout the traditional stat line, it's pretty easy to see why you might drop Hall from the list. You could look at the 6.02 BB/9 and say that he doesn't have the command and that he's destined to be a reliever, but it was reported that Holt told Hall and Akin to throw a lot more breaking balls in fastball counts. I would bet on an athletic pitcher like Hall tightening his command every day of the week.

Besides if you look closer at his stats, there's a much more positive picture to be seen. His K/9 increased from 9.54 to 12.94, HR/9 decreased from 0.57 to 0.33, and average against dropped from .198 to .185. His FIP actually decreased from 3.67 to 3.22, so ultimately his stuff got even better this year and better hitters actually got worse at hitting him.

I would really take this list with a grain of salt, BP really does not have the same reputation that it used to have.

[Just Regular]

A chat followup mostly regurgitated, but there was a delivery ding.  I'm also not sure what they are driving at when they say third pitch issues as I'm mostly influenced by the positive changeup reports here.

LindoMafia (Baltimore): BP seems to be the outlier on DL Hall, completely outside your 101 despite being inside the top-50 elsewhere. What is the rationale there?

Top 101 Prospects Chat: We think there is reliever risk based on the control/command and third pitch issues. I'm also personally not a huge fan of the delivery. Again, the difference between him and like Manoah isn't particularly vast, but I do think there's a fair gap between him and say, Grayson Rodriguez.

I did parse some of his game log, and FWIW in his last 6 games/27 innings, his BB/9 did get down to "just" 4.0.  27 innings is both miniscule, and also one-third of his full season #HighSchoolPitchers.