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Win predictions at Start of 2nd half


2nd Half predictions  

66 members have voted

  1. 1. What will be the outcome of our regular season?

    • > 100 wins
      11
    • 96-100 wins
      34
    • 90-95 wins
      19
    • <90 wins
      2


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Hard to predict until we see how they look coming out of the break. Hopefully a lot better than they did going into it. 
 

I think they’ll flirt with 100 wins, and I think it will take 100+ to take the division.  With 66 games to go we’d need to go 42-24 to get to exactly 100.  Certainly possible but I don’t like the odds. So I went with 96-100 

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We have 66 games left, a .604 winning percentage, and the hardest part of our schedule is behind us.

Continue at .600, we win 38 more games-=96

Fall to .500, we win 33= 91

Collapse to .450, we win 29 more games=87.

All of those send us-probably-to October.

I don’t think we address the problems enough to get 42 wins, dagnabbit, and we falter without collapsing and go ~ .550 the rest of the way, or 94 wins.

Plus one for Lagniappe. 
Plus another for righteous living.
 

96 wins

2014 redux

 

Edited by HowAboutThat
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This is the Athletic’s projection. The Yankees have played two additional games and lost them both, and the Orioles are currently one game up.

The projection calls for the Yankees to win one game more than the Orioles, which means they have to make up three games just to get even, and then win an additional one to  meet the projection.

Thats a high hill for the Yankees to climb, but if the Orioles do nothing meaningful, they will slide, and slide hard, but not out of the playoffs.

But remember, it’s not just a question of what we do or don’t, but what the Yankees do or don’t.

We shall see…

 

IMG_1755.jpeg

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10 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

 

This type of stat is always all over the place. I’m pretty sure I saw something recently that we were in the Top 10 of easiest remaining schedules. I also find it hard to believe the Yankees would be that much softer doing a quick head to head comparison. If anything, it looks like to me the O’s is a bit easier - on paper anyways.

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