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2015 Travis Snider Trade

xian4

By xian4
in Orioles Talk

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weams Hangout Grand Counsel

weams

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Would rather give up Bridwell or Kline. I like Brault. Still, Brault is considered a below average velocity guy who is back end rotation type. Bridwell and Kline are scout's guys but underachievers. Brault is the pitchability overachiver type.

I like the stuff guys better that the pitchability guys myself.

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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Disagree. 900 career OPS in the minors. There is a little Chris Davis in this guy. He can handle LHP a little. Entering age 27 season. At worst, he's a role player but there is potential for a regular RF this year. His career 162 game average is pretty much what you can expect from Nick Markakis this year. What does Buck say? The difference, a lot of times, is opportunity. Do you consider Steve Pearce a "role player" only going into this season?

Yes, I did, and the first thought that popped into my mind about Snider was, maybe he'll be the LH Steve Pearce of 2015.

Interesting that he really has been used as a platoon guy despite not terrible numbers vs. LHP. 84% of his career PA vs. RHP.

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weams Hangout Grand Counsel

weams

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As a highly touted prospect, Travis Snider has received second, third, and maybe even fourth chances despite totaling just a .246/.310/.406 slash line through 1,706 plate appearances. He went from hyped prospect, to post-hype sleeper, to mostly forgotten man after a change of scenery deal in the summer of 2012 appeared to do little to unlock the potential in his bat. All of that said, he’ll be turning just 27 years old a couple months before Opening Day...A deal away from PNC Park and out of a fourth outfielder gig would be ideal,

https://thefantasyfix.com/2015-fantasy-baseball/the-post-post-hype-sleeper-travis-snider/

Snider’s on-field performance that spurred me to write this piece. When he was working his way up the minor league ladder his carrying tool was his raw power, but with his pop came questions about strikeouts undermining it. Not exactly an original tale for a young power hitting prospect, and like many before him, strikeouts nipped his pop in the bud. In his career he’s struck out in 25.0% of his plate appearances. Last year he made huge strides in making contact posting just an 8.1% swinging strike rate per FanGraphs (9.4% was the league average and 11.0% is Snider’s career mark), and that uptick in contact led to a career low strikeout rate of just 18.7%. Interestingly his reduced strikeout rate didn’t come at the expense of working counts and walks, as his 9.5% walk rate was better than the league average of 8.9%, and better than his career mark of 8.3%. An improved approach at the plate and noticeable gains in putting wood on the ball provide optimism for more dingers to come in 2015, as does his raw power resulting in the ninth highest average home run and flyball distance as measured by Baseball Heat Maps.

Parsing data, especially an already small sample of the 359 plate appearances Snider had in 2014, is often unwise and can create false narratives and unreasonable expectations.

... I’m still intrigued by Snider’s second half stats last year, as it’s not out of the question that the light went on for the then 26-year old hitter. In 188 plate appearances in the second half of the season Snider ripped nine homers, walked in 9.0% of his plate appearances while striking out in just 17.6% of them and hit .288/356/.524 with a .235 ISO and 149 wRC+. For those unfamiliar with wRC+ (weighted runs created plus), 100 represents an average offensive player and to put things into further perspective, a 149 wRC+ would have ranked 10th among qualified hitters sandwiched between the 150 wRC+ Edwin Encarnacion tallied and the 147 wRC+ marks posted by Miguel Cabrera and Yasiel Puig. Of course I’m not suggesting Snider is in the same tier of hitter as that trio, but if he’s just now tapping into his potential a full-time gig could easily make him rosterable in 12-team mixed leagues and larger formats. Bookmark Snider as a lotto ticket worth keeping tabs on in the spring.

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luismatos4prez All-Star

luismatos4prez

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http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/2014-batted-ball-distance-surgers/

It's the Travis Snider coming out party! It happened later than expected, but don't forget that he'll still be just 27 this year. He would make for a pretty intriguing power sleeper if he found his way to another team and more favorable park. Because now he'll be battling Gregory Polanco for playing time and it would be a surprise if Snider kept Polanco in the minors all year.
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