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Chris Davis Home Run Watch, 2016

OFFNY

By OFFNY
in Orioles Talk

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TINSTAAPP All-Star

TINSTAAPP

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Chris Davis' numbers are very comparable to Cecil Fielder at the same age.

Fielder at age 30- 219 HRs, 680 RBIs, .259/.345/.501

Davis at age 30- 225 HRs, 608 RBIs, .252/.330/.502

Their career trajectory has also been eerily similar. They both had an incredible 50+ HR season after struggling mightily to find a place in the majors during the early parts of their careers. They both have led the league in HRs twice. They're both relatively low BA guys with tremendous power. Their walk rates (9.7% for Fielder and 9.4% for Davis) and HR% (5.8% for Fielder, 5.7% for Davis) are practically identical. Fielder was a solid slugger for three more years after his age 30 season but his batting average during those years were very low especially in the steroid era. Fielder had a bad year at age 34 and then he retired the following year after being cut in spring training. I see Davis following a similar path. His batting average will be in the .230s or .240s for the next three or four years but he'll still be a decent offensive player due to his ability to draw walks and hit for power. Then suddenly his offensive numbers will fall off the cliff and never recover.

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TradeAngelos All-Star

TradeAngelos

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He's getting paid off of what he has done in the past.

You going to ignore the fact he is going to end up with around 4 wins, and how he has never had a full healthy season under 5.2 in the last 4 years

I guess so.

Is being worth around 30m (or more) for the season not good enough for you?

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El Gordo Hangout Grand Counsel

El Gordo

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Big Awful. Bordering on Chris Davis historical awful. Not quite there yet.

His numbers are almost the same this year at this date as last when he had a good year,. .806 ops ,804. 22 HR 22 HR 59 RBI 60 RBI 41 BB 55 BB. He had a worse stretch last year 883 TO. 711 OPS 24 G, v ,876 to ,804 20 G. Who knows?

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joeyc Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

joeyc

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I said it before I'll say it again. This contract will haunt the O's for many years to come. He is awful and should have never been given a 7 year deal. No one else even wanted him. we negotiated against ourselves. So we wouldn't give Nelson Cruz any money, who has been a consistent major league homerun hitter, but will give this strikeout machine a 7 year deal. Just horrible.

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Slim Shady All-Star

Slim Shady

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I said it before I'll say it again. This contract will haunt the O's for many years to come. He is awful and should have never been given a 7 year deal. No one else even wanted him. we negotiated against ourselves. So we wouldn't give Nelson Cruz any money, who has been a consistent major league homerun hitter, but will give this strikeout machine a 7 year deal. Just horrible.

Oh please! You sound ridiculous right now! He is in a SLUMP that HE WILL overcome!

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