September

[Uli2001]

Orioles record under Showalter (source: baseball-reference.com).

2011

Apr-Aug -> .403 (5th AL East)

Sep -> .536 (3rd AL East)

2012

Apr-Aug -> .557 (2nd AL East)

Sep -> .645 (1st AL East)

2013

Apr-Aug -> .530 (4th AL East)

Sep -> .500 (3rd AL East)

2014

Apr-Aug -> .585 (1st AL East)

Sep -> .630 (1st AL East)

2015

Apr-Aug -> .481 (4th AL East)

Sep -> .581 (2nd AL East)

2016

Apr-Aug -> .541 (3rd AL East)

Sep -> ?

The Orioles performance in September has been better than through August in all seasons but 2013 (and they still improved their ranking in the AL East that year). In some cases, significantly better (2011 and 2015), turning around disappointing seasons.

[Uli2001]

No takers?

[video=youtube;Gs069dndIYk]

[LookitsPuck]

It's encouraging. The expanded rosters should give Buck more options.

[Uli2001]

It's encouraging. The expanded rosters should give Buck more options.

I just thought I would try to counter the rampant negativity around these parts.

[weams]

No takers?

[video=youtube;Gs069dndIYk]

I just watched the worst batter I've seen line into a 4-3 double play for the Cubs. His name is Heyward.

[eddie83]

Last year surprises me. I know we did tank right at the end of August.

[LookitsPuck]

I just thought I would try to counter the rampant negativity around these parts.

Average winning percentage under Buck in September is ~58%. With 29 games remaining that'd be a 17-12 record. A 17-12 record would give them a 89-73 record to end the season. And I'd take that in a heartbeat all things considered.

[MDK02]

Average winning percentage under Buck in September is ~58%. With 29 games remaining that'd be a 17-12 record. A 17-12 record would give them a 89-73 record to end the season. And I'd take that in a heartbeat all things considered.

Might not be enough for a wildcard spot though..

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[OFFNY]

I just watched the worst batter I've seen line into a 4-3 double play for the Cubs. His name is Heyward.

Hayward:

[LookitsPuck]

Might not be enough for a wildcard spot though..

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Last 4 years WC records in the AL:

2012: BAL: 93-69, TEX: 93-69

2013 CLE: 92-70, TAM: 92-71

2014: KCR: 89-73, OAK 88-74

2015: NYY 87-75, HOU 86-76

So, last couple years it'd be enough. Crossing fingers. Every single win is paramount. Can't play the long game any longer (i.e. saving Brach in a close game even if we're down 1).

[MDK02]

Last 4 years WC records in the AL:

2012: BAL: 93-69, TEX: 93-69

2013 CLE: 92-70, TAM: 92-71

2014: KCR: 89-73, OAK 88-74

2015: NYY 87-75, HOU 86-76

So, last couple years it'd be enough. Crossing fingers. Every single win is paramount. Can't play the long game any longer (i.e. saving Brach in a close game even if we're down 1).

I agree. Have to do whatever it takes to win the game being played and can't plan ahead for bullpen use.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[eddie83]

I think the Tigers and Astros are most concern. The Astros have a real tough schedule next 2 weeks. I respect KC but don't think they can continue to play at such a high level for so long. Yanks are playing well but their pitching doesn't impress me much and that lineup is being lead by Sanchez who is good but not this good. Think Seattle is done.

[beantownrefugee]

Last 4 years WC records in the AL:

2012: BAL: 93-69, TEX: 93-69

2013 CLE: 92-70, TAM: 92-71

2014: KCR: 89-73, OAK 88-74

2015: NYY 87-75, HOU 86-76

So, last couple years it'd be enough. Crossing fingers. Every single win is paramount. Can't play the long game any longer (i.e. saving Brach in a close game even if we're down 1).

Key metric is what was the record of the runner-up to the last wild card:

2012: TB 90-72

2013: Texas 91-71 (lost tie-breaker game to TB, who was also 91-71)

2014: Seattle 87-75

2015: LAA 85-77

So 90 wins didn't even fetch a tie-breaker game in one year. But then again, in two of the years, 90 wins would have been enough to host the WC game.

[Uli2001]

Average winning percentage under Buck in September is ~58%. With 29 games remaining that'd be a 17-12 record. A 17-12 record would give them a 89-73 record to end the season. And I'd take that in a heartbeat all things considered.

Might not be enough for a wildcard spot though..

I am thinking 90 wins is within the realm of possibility if most factors go right. With all teams beating up on each other, 90 wins probably fetches a WC game this year.