O's 2017 offense vs 2018 offense

[wildcard]

The O's scored  732 runs in 2017.  That is 4.6 runs per game.   The Orioles showed a graphic on the O's broadcast that if any team scores 4 runs they win 70% of those games.   At approximately the one third mark on the season the O's are scoring 3.7 games.   That is the problem with this year O's offense.

Here is a list on 2017's O's  players vs O's 2018 players.   2018 games are multiplied by 3 in most cases. The bolded numbers show where the problems are this year compared to last year.

3B/SS  Machado  2017 games (156),  OPS 782 vs 2018 games (162), OPS 1004 

2B Schoop   2017 games (160), OPS  841 vs 2018 games (103), OPS 683

CF Jones 2017 games (147), OPS 787  vs  2018 games (160), OPS 762

LF/1B Mancini 2017 games (147), OPS 826  vs  2018 games (160), OPS 681

1B Davis  2017 games (128), OPS 723,  vs 2018 games (150), OPS 483

 

DH Trumbo  2017 games (146), OPS 686, vs 2018 games (69), OPS 778

DH Alvarez 2017 games (14), OPS 790. vs 2018 games (104). OPS 752

 

C Castillo  2017 games (96) games, OPS 813

C Sisco 2017 games ..........................................vs 2018 games (117), OPS 683

C Joseph 2017 games (89) games, OPS 700 vs 2018 games (72), OPS 527

 

RF Smith 2017 games (111) games, OPS 774

RF Santander 2017 games...................................vs 2018  games (33) OPS 547

RF Rasmus ............................................................vs 2018  games (0)

OF Gentry 2017 games (77), OPS 719  vs  2018 games  (126),  OPS 561

OF Rickard 2017 games (111), OPS 621 vs 2018 games (45),  OPS 735

 

3B/SS Hardy 2017 games (73), OPS 578

SS/3B Beckham 2017 games (50), OPS 871,  vs 2018 games (69), OPS 509

 3B/DH Valencia .................................................vs 2018 games (102), OPS 816

2B/3B Peterson..................................................vs 2018 games (84) OPS 520

This seems to show that the biggest problems with the offense are is several areas.

 1) the players;  Schoop, Mancini and Davis are not preforming to the level they did last year.  Schoop's injury caused a lot of problems because the backups didn't perform well.  But backups will almost never perform as well as a star player.

2) At catcher Sisco and Joseph are not performing to the level that Castillo/Joseph did last year.  But would you really have wanted the suspended Castillo back?   Or to not  give Sisco his chance to graduate to the majors?

3) It maybe would have been smarter to bring back Seth Smith while waiting for the O's young outfielders to develop.  Or sign someone else.  This probably is a bad call by Duquette.

4) Offensively Valencia is filling in well for Beckham at 3B.

Overall, IMO its the players that have to take the blame for non-performance according to this analysis with Duquette only taking the blame for RF.