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Comparing the AL East Farm Systems - Fangraphs’ Take So Far


Frobby

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18 hours ago, now said:

Interesting to see this approach. I'm impressed by the use of a single number (FV) to compare all players, and intrigued at attaching a dollar figure to that. It offers a window to future budget expectations (though as in the case of Kjerstad, big assumptions can skew the picture considerably when they pan out differently).

It's a bit derivative but IIRC they just attach an expected WAR value for each FV rating, and then multiply that by the $$$/WAR value for the current season.  The expected WAR value I believe is based on past data compared against their actual production, but I could be mistaken there.

 

Here's a couple articles that discuss it at length.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-update-to-prospect-valuation/

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/putting-a-dollar-value-on-prospects-outside-the-top-100/

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