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Friday July 2: Orioles in Anaheim, trying to extend winning streak to 4


SteveA

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  • Posts

    • Starting to digest some of the almost year end numbers, he's looking good for 3rd MLB-wide in HR. The .228 BABIP is lowest by a good deal among today's 131 qualified Bats on FG.    That isn't an accident - his 30.4 GB% is 2nd lowest to Mookie Betts.     Santander has been about as successful as any MLB hitter getting ground balls out of the equation.    Elevate and Celebrate! The difference between an 80 bat like Mookie and him is Mookie can do it without popping up a zillion times - Santander's infield fly ball rate near the top. At year end on the other end of that sort, Cowser is still leading MLB at that Votto-ish "never pops up" thing.
    • It’s good to see Burnes getting into top form just as the playoffs are looming.   
    • Burnes can pitch on normal rest and lineup for Game 1. Thurs against NY and Tuesday for Game 1.  Eflin and others may need to be moved around. Kremer/Suarez combo for Game 3 (if necessary).  The Twins series likely won’t matter for us, unless the Yankees tank. This will allow some flexibility to skip guys to line them up for the following week. 
    • By WAR, Gil is about tied with Cowser at 2.4 fangraphs/3.6 bbref (cowser is basically the reverse of that.)  Wells is slightly ahead of both but he's slumping.  Pretty tight race to be honest. A good week from Cowser could seal it.   As it stands i probably give it to Gil just because starting pitchers are so hard to come by.  But Cowser could change my mind.
    • Nobody is claiming that. However he did hit last night but he let 2 or 3 balls get past him and missed a throw from Jackson.  If a guy gets optioned after showing a sign of improvement at the plate, but struggles to field his position, what's the most likely overwhelming deciding factor then? The Orioles are an organization that believes in strong defensive play, which is why we carried a player like Urias or Mateo for so many seasons even when they were struggling to hit.
    • If his year is over, B-Ref has it -0.7 WAR in 41 PA. That is turning up the heat some on 2023 Colton Cowser's -0.8 WAR in 77 PA. I'm hopeful '25 Mayo can be about as helpful as '24 Cowser.
    • Yeah that .098 average was keeping him safe. 
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