Jump to content

Heston Kjerstad 2023


Three Run Homer

Recommended Posts

9 hours ago, Flash- bd said:

Tbf, we're well outplaying our pythag and will certainly see some regression to the mean in the long-term with our success in close ball games. 

Unless perhaps the pythag didn't get it right? Happened last year too didn't it?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Back to Heston, I do think it will be interesting what they decide to do with him this year. I don’t see any scenario outside significant injury where he comes up and gets exclusive playing time. Will Elias and company be okay bringing him up in September for a bench bat and occasional start?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, IPlayGM said:

Back to Heston, I do think it will be interesting what they decide to do with him this year. I don’t see any scenario outside significant injury where he comes up and gets exclusive playing time. Will Elias and company be okay bringing him up in September for a bench bat and occasional start?

It's an interesting conversation. I think they may bring him up on August 31st to make him eligible for the playoffs. If he looks good right away or if there is an injury, he'll then be able to get a roster spot.

Since he will need to be protected this offseason anyways, there's no real reason not to add him for the September push if he's still hitting this well. 

  • Upvote 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think he gets the Gunnar treatment as well.  And no they probably won't give him consistent playing time and a ton of AB....cuz a big part of our long term sustainment plan is to keep our best stud prospects eligible for rookie of the year the following year.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

It's an interesting conversation. I think they may bring him up on August 31st to make him eligible for the playoffs. If he looks good right away or if there is an injury, he'll then be able to get a roster spot.

Since he will need to be protected this offseason anyways, there's no real reason not to add him for the September push if he's still hitting this well. 

Agreed.  If he adjusts quickly and hits, bonus!  If not, he gets some experience and knows what to work on heading into the off-season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

It's an interesting conversation. I think they may bring him up on August 31st to make him eligible for the playoffs. If he looks good right away or if there is an injury, he'll then be able to get a roster spot.

Since he will need to be protected this offseason anyways, there's no real reason not to add him for the September push if he's still hitting this well. 

So you are predicting a pre September call up date for Heston?  That would be great for him.....very exciting stuff.  I have followed Heston very close since we heard about his heart condition.  I have been rooting first just for him to have a normal life then to play baseball.  The way he has comeback from a major illness is amazing.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 7/25/2023 at 12:19 PM, Jagwar said:

Unless perhaps the pythag didn't get it right? Happened last year too didn't it?

I'm not saying pythag has to be exactly right (surely there are some things that allow you to consistently beat it to some extent: probably a mix of bullpen strength and a certain clubhouse attitude / self-fulfilling prophecy / positive feedback loop...Real Madrid in the Champions League is a good example of this in another sport, where I think it's hard to deny that that factor is relevant) but some regression to the mean is surely in order. You just don't outplay your pythag by this much over long samples. Last night's game was a good example, and as Hyde correctly noted, you just can't win every 1 run game and this kind of thing can happen and is really the norm. 

Edited by Flash- bd
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Heston launched a homerun today that went slightly right of centerfield.  It was an easy swing and it went like a missile.  No distance results that I heard.

This kid HAS to come up this year.  We could really use his help.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, Gurgi said:

Heston launched a homerun today that went slightly right of centerfield.  It was an easy swing and it went like a missile.  No distance results that I heard.

This kid HAS to come up this year.  We could really use his help.  

416 feet. Also off a lefty, which is nice to see.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, RZNJ said:

Kjerstad seems the most hitterish of all our top prospects.  He's looking to do damage but he's also not a hacker.  Ortiz too without as much power.

 

I think offensively he's going to be on another planet from guys like Westburg and Cowser (who I think will also be solid). Just a pure natural power hitter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • A RH power bat to stick somewhere in the 3-4-5 slots. I would see what the Giants might want in a trade for Heliot Ramos. He hit .370 / .439 / .750 against LH pitchers this year, and would look awesome in the middle of all our lefty batters.  
    • Early in the offseason and my opinions may change, but here are my thoughts at this time. 1st - I'm ready to move on from Mountcastle.  And O'Hearn should only be a platoon option.  I hope we sign someone like a Alonso or Walker who doesn't have massive L/R splits and who can play on a daily basis, regardless of who is on the mound, and make both Ryans expendable, and we trade them for whatever we can get.  Otherwise we probably keep the platoon going, with the Ryan's splitting based on the SP.  Unfortunately Mayo hasn't show anything in the majors to make me think he's ready to be a regular in the lineup yet.  That could change in the spring, but right now we can't plan on him. 2nd - This is Holidays spot to start the season.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot.  Holiday didn't earn it by his play, but his pedigree and the money/time invested into him will give him a pretty long leash, for good or bad.  If he falters Westburg may be moved off of 3rd to play here instead. SS - Gunnar is here.  We won't be bringing in any competition for this spot. 3rd - Westburg.  He should hold this spot down unless Holiday struggles, and then he might be moved over the 2nd.  We don't bring in any real competition for this spot. Util - I don't like it, but I expect us to keep both Mateo and Urias, though I'm not 100% sure if we think Mateo will be ready for OD.  If Mateo isn't expected to be ready then I can see us bringing in someone for this role, though I'm not sure who off the top of my head. C - Adley has this spot, though if we are going to continue to keep his load light, we need a GOOD backup.  And after Adleys struggles the 2nd half of the season, I'm even more concerned about the quality of the backup than I was before this year started.  I'm just not sure how many GOOD backups exist, and any of the really good catchers are going to want to start more than they would here.  I'm not sure Basallo is ready for MLB time, and after the struggles with Mayo and Holiday, we surely can't count on him even if he is on the mlb roster.  McCann could come back...I don't love that idea, but I could see it happening. OF - We start with Mullins, Cowser and Kjerstad, don't try to resign Santander unless he take the QO.  I'd LOVE to see us bring in someone good here (Soto would rock, but clearly isn't going to happen) maybe Pederson or Hernandez or something.  Spend a bit of money here and get someone who has a decent bat. So upgrade 1st base with a non-platoon player and bring in a good vet in the OF.  Say goodbye to the Ryans and Santander. Pitching - I'd love to sign a #1 like Burnes or Snell, but I think they get more years and money than we are willing to go.  I can see us being in on a Max Fried or Jack Flahertyt.  Also possible to see some of the lesser guys, the Andrew Heaneys of the world. Bullpen - I expect to see a few journeyman/low level signings.  With the controllable players we traded for this year and what is returning I don't see us signing anyone big for the bullpen.  
    • I think it’s pretty natural for kids to take special notice of the guys with speed who make exciting plays like steals and triples and defensive “web gems.” Seems like the kids now are higher on guys like Mateo and Mullins than the grownups, and I think that was the case with Brian Roberts back in the day too. As for clutch, in going through some of the clutch numbers, one guy who stood out as a possible fit for us is Alex Bregman. He has a career 144 wRC+ with runners on base and a .294 BA with RISP — I tend to care a little more about BA when a hit scores a run. His postseason heroics are also pretty well-known. Not sure what you’d have to pay him, and I’m pretty sure signing him would necessitate the Holliday-to-CF move. But if they’re not willing to play in the Soto sandbox financially, Bregman would be a veteran guy with championship pedigree and (importantly) ties to Mike/Sig that could put him near the top of their list. 
    • Just to be as clear as possible, when they were doing better early in the season, they were swinging more, not less. 4/1 - 6/30: 7.2 BB%, 49.3% swing rate, 29.8% out of zone swing rate, 22.2% whiff rate, .316 OBP 7/1 - 9/30: 8.7 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.0% out of zone swing rate, 22.4% whiff rate, .315 OBP 2023: 8.4 BB%, 47.8% swing rate, 29.9% out of zone swing rate, 23.0% whiff rate, .321 OBP They took less walks early in the year, they swung more often at both balls and strikes early in the year, and their OBP/whiff rates were essentially identical in both halves.  The notion that they turned into free-swinging hackers in the second half — and that’s why they failed — seems to be pretty commonly held here, but it’s not backed by any data. They were actually more patient at the plate in this season’s second half than they’ve ever been during the Adley era.
    • Meant to say I wouldn't mind him managing the Orioles. I always liked him as a manager. 
    • It is a foolish hope to expect a full season out of Rodriguez. Kremer is fine, and I’m glad to have him. Suarez was better in most meaningful stats, but we don’t know what Suarez is going to do. He could possibly be just a flash in the pan. Povich is trade or depth. We need depth. Our 2025 -ready pitchers all have potential problems. but now we also need outfielders and infielders
    • A very good move as long as he is healthy. Surprised he wanted to come back. I would had mind here. A HOF manager
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...