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Trade Deadline Prediction Time


Greg Pappas

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12 minutes ago, Pickles said:

Of not pitching this many innings- for whatever reason.

Wells has a history of injury/poor 2nd half.    Show me where Lorenzen does.  I don’t see it.   There is no proof that throwing over your previous career innings is going to lead to fatigue and ineffectiveness.  I can show you Corbin Burnes blowing way past his previous high and being great.  How about Strider last year and this year?

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1 minute ago, RZNJ said:

Wells has a history of injury/poor 2nd half.    Show me where Lorenzen does.  I don’t see it.   There is no proof that throwing over your previous career innings is going to lead to fatigue and ineffectiveness.  I can show you Corbin Burnes blowing way past his previous high and being great.  How about Strider last year and this year?

There's no definitive evidence either way, and you're anecdotal evidence is no different than anecdotal evidence showing the opposite, which would be easy to provide.

It's just common sense and it can't be dismissed because it can't be quantified.  But yes, doing a repetitive activity more than you have in the past will lead to fatigue.

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15 minutes ago, Pickles said:

There's no definitive evidence either way, and you're anecdotal evidence is no different than anecdotal evidence showing the opposite, which would be easy to provide.

It's just common sense and it can't be dismissed because it can't be quantified.  But yes, doing a repetitive activity more than you have in the past will lead to fatigue.

If you train to run 1 mile every other day, chances are you will have no problem, and maybe increase your times as time goes on.    It’s not like running a mile and then trying to run 10.   

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42 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

If you train to run 1 mile every other day, chances are you will have no problem, and maybe increase your times as time goes on.    It’s not like running a mile and then trying to run 10.   

Well the problem is you are more likely running the equivalent of ~15 miles?  That's a good question, but I don't think I'm far off.

Just from general use, you are going to degrade.  This is why those runners actually pull back in advance of big races, because being fresher is an advantage.

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2 hours ago, Roll Tide said:

Blockbuster

 

Orioles & Mariners

 

 

My Proposal 

Logan Gilbert (controlled through 2027)
Paul Seawald (controlled through 2024)

 

for 

Kjerstad

Norby

Hall

Watson/Denoyer

Ardoin

Sewald was traded to Arizona yesterday.

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14 hours ago, owknows said:

I was referring very specifically to this post here:

 

Ah okay, didn't see that.  I want the Orioles to make a move and think they need to, but Elias certainly needs to show restraint to avoid trading away too many prospects for a mediocre upgrade. 

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