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Some 9x stats

Frobby

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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38 minutes ago, Hallas said:

The fact that Chris Davis had multiple years with a BB% over 11% tells you all you need to know about how correlated plate discipline is with BB%.

Actually, the performance of a single player doesn’t tell you anything about the correlation over thousands of players.

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Frobby
Frobby

The season is exactly 1/9 over, so you can just multiply any cumulative stat by 9 to see how it projects over a full season.  That results in the O’s protecting to 108 wins, scoring 936 runs (+129 ove

Frobby
Frobby

My, that is pedantic. Multiplying by nine is much easier and more fun than doing all that boring stuff.

OrangeRocks
OrangeRocks

I'm projected to attend 0 games this year.

OsFanSinceThe80s Hangout Grand Counsel

OsFanSinceThe80s

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Hallas said:

The fact that Chris Davis had multiple years with a BB% over 11% tells you all you need to know about how correlated plate discipline is with BB%.

There's a difference between being patient at the plate as opposed to comatose.

Edited by OsFanSinceThe80s
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Babkins Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

Babkins

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4 hours ago, Jim'sKid26 said:

For those of you following at home:

Pedantic = "someone who annoys others by correcting small errors, caring too much about minor details, or emphasizing their own expertise especially in some narrow or boring subject matter."

Buzzkill = "a person or thing that spoils the mood or the pleasure of others."

Pedantic is an adjective. Your definition has it as a noun.

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OriolesMagic83 Hangout Grand Counsel

OriolesMagic83

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7 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

I'll be the pedantic one and point out that it's not really a projection to multiply 1/9th of the season by nine and come up with a full season's performance. Because 1/9th of the season is almost certainly not representative of the talent or expected performance of the players in question. 

To get a true projection you should take a little less than 8/9ths of your preseason projection, add in what they've done since opening day, and then toss in the little bit of additional knowledge we've gotten from the past 18 games.

If you thought Jordan Westburg was a 2.5-win player on opening day, it's probably reasonable to think he's a 2.7 win player today.

OK Debbie Downer

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Ohfan67 Hangout Grand Counsel

Ohfan67

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3 hours ago, Babkins said:

Pedantic is an adjective. Your definition has it as a noun.

What a great example of pedantic! Please tell us you meant to do that. I honestly can’t tell these days. 

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JimGinSP Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

JimGinSP

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13 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

He'd be in the running for unanimous MVP.  Mike Trout in 2012 is the only rookie to ever have gotten to 10 rWAR, and he didn't win the MVP only becuase a bunch of writers got all weak-kneed about Cabrera's triple crown. 2nd in all time rookie WAR is Dick Allen's 8.8 in '64, followed by Judge's 8.0 in '17.

Fred Lynn won the MVP and ROY in '75 with a 7.4-win season.

So since Westburg is apparently still ROY eligible, Cowser and Westburg may project to be the best rookie combination since Fred Lynn and Jim Rice in 1975?  

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dystopia Hangout Grand Counsel

dystopia

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1 hour ago, JimGinSP said:

So since Westburg is apparently still ROY eligible, Cowser and Westburg may project to be the best rookie combination since Fred Lynn and Jim Rice in 1975?  

Westburg shouldn’t be, where are you seeing that?

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OsFanSinceThe80s Hangout Grand Counsel

OsFanSinceThe80s

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3 hours ago, JimGinSP said:

So since Westburg is apparently still ROY eligible, Cowser and Westburg may project to be the best rookie combination since Fred Lynn and Jim Rice in 1975?  

 

1 hour ago, dystopia said:

Westburg shouldn’t be, where are you seeing that?

Westburg exceeded rookie eligibility limits last year exceeding 130 at bats and more than 45 days on the active roster. On the plus side he might qualify as a super sophomore or at the very least avoid the sophomore slump. 

Edited by OsFanSinceThe80s
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waroriole Hangout Grand Counsel

waroriole

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54 minutes ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

 

Westburg exceeded rookie eligibility limits last year exceeding 130 at bats and more than 45 days on the active roster. On the plus side he might qualify as a super sophomore or at the very least avoid the sophomore slump. 

However you wanna calculate it, he’s a diaper dandy. 

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