Projected Orioles 2020 Opening Day Payroll (ODP)

[AZRon]

For those who want to play GM, I am presenting the current projected opening day team payroll (ODP) for the start of the 2020 season. I'm dealing only with the "active" roster, but the O's will have pay obligations for all players on the 40 man roster. I'll try to keep this up to date through opening day (all help appreciated).

To qualify for this list, the player must be on the 40 Man Roster or on a split contract. This list represents my guess as to the 2020 Opening Day Active Roster (26 players + IL) as of the date of this post.

Salaries are displayed as rounded to the nearest $10k, but the total is accurate to 2 decimal places.

Projections for those under contract are from the Cots Baseball Prospectus Compensation website.

The 2020 minimum  MLB salary is $563,500.

Last year's Orioles ODP was $82.12M, about a 53% reduction from the previous year.

I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA). So, please, let's dispense with the squabbling over the "accounting" for salary deferrals. I have noted the 2020 contract deferrals in the right-most column of the below chart.
 

Status		PLAYER	POS		2020 SALARY		DEFERRED
					($ Million)		($ Million)
P		Chance Sisco	C		$0.57
P		Pedro Severino	C		$0.60
C		Chris Davis	1B/DH		$23.00		$6.00
P		Renato Núñez	DH/1B/3B		$0.60
C		Hanser Alberto	2B		$1.65
C		José Iglesias	SS		$2.50
P		Rio Ruiz	3B		$0.58
C		Trey Mancini	OF/DH/1B		$4.75
P		Austin Hays	OF		$0.56
P		Anthony Santander	OF		$0.59
P		DJ Stewart (IL)	OF		$0.56
P		Cedric Mullins	OF		$0.56
P		Ramon Urias	UT		$0.56
P		Andrew Velazquez	UT		$0.57
C		Wade LeBlanc	SP		$0.80
C		Alex Cobb	SP		$14.00		$4.50
P		John Means	SP		$0.70
P		Asher Wojciechowski	SP		$0.65
C		Mychal Givens	RP		$3.23
C		Richard Bleier	RP		$0.92
P		Paul Fry	RP		$0.65
C		Miguel Castro	RP		$1.05
P		Hunter Harvey	RP		$0.56
P		Kohl Stewart	RP		$0.80
P		Tanner Scott	RP		$0.56
P		Cole Sulser	RP		$0.56
P		Shawn Armstrong	RP		$0.60
		Total			$62.74		$10.50
		A = Arbitration Projection
		C = Contract
		P =  Pre-Arbitration

Edited March 6, 2020 by AZRon
Updated the roster projection to reflect changes through 3/6/2020

[weams]

So. Call to math brains. How do you get this down under 45 million?

[Can_of_corn]

5 minutes ago, weams said:

So. Call to math brains. How do you get this down under 45 million?

Take 2 million out of the international budget.

[weams]

4 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Take 2 million out of the international budget.

I don't think the projected international or draft budgets are included here. 

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, weams said:

I don't think the projected international or draft budgets are included here. 

If you take 2M away you can go to 47M.

[weams]

2 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

If you take 2M away you can go to 47M.

Why? They are separate bugets. No?

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, weams said:

Why? They are separate bugets. No?

Are they?

Seems inefficient.

[weams]

I don't see anyone advocating cutting Jim Hunter, Mike Bordick, Dave Johnson, Tom Davis  and Steve Melewski to add .57

Let's stick to the team payroll. 

[Can_of_corn]

2 minutes ago, weams said:

I don't see anyone advocating cutting Jim Hunter, Mike Bordick, Dave Johnson, Tom Davis  and Steve Melewski to add .57

Let's stick to the team payroll. 

Can I randomly make up a budget like you did?

[weams]

2 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Can I randomly make up a budget like you did?

Sure. Absolutely. 

[Moose Milligan]

Add up all the arbitration projection players and you get to 29.2.  MLBTR's site that they link to for the arb projections say they're usually ~300k or so.  

Add Davis, you get 52.2, and then Cobb brings us to 66.2.

As it stands, I don't think that 76.02 number is that far off from what they'll end up with.  I don't see us being big spenders in free agency of course.  And the guys that made the league minimum last year are going to be replaced by guys that will be making the league minimum next year.  

I see it going either 5 million in either direction, either up to 81 or down to 71.  

Then again, not my money and I don't really care.  Obviously the worst part of all of this is that most of the money is tied up with two rather useless players in Davis and Cobb.  Davis is what he is, no one has any hope and Cobb has a long way to go before being able to restore any kind of faith with anyone.  Even if he has a great first half and can figure out a way to trade him, we'll still be eating his salary through the end of 2021.  

 

 

[tntoriole]

31 minutes ago, weams said:

So. Call to math brains. How do you get this down under 45 million?

DFA Chris Davis. 

[Can_of_corn]

2 minutes ago, tntoriole said:

DFA Chris Davis. 

Still have to pay him.

[Can_of_corn]

10 minutes ago, weams said:

Sure. Absolutely. 

47M 

I don't think they can get to 45M with Davis and Cobb on the books.

Any deferred money coming due this year?  I think the Markakis payments are done.  How about Jones, Hardy, Ubaldo any of those getting a check in 2020?

[weams]

3 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

47M 

I don't think they can get to 45M with Davis and Cobb on the books.

Any deferred money coming due this year?  I think the Markakis payments are done.  How about Jones, Hardy, Ubaldo any of those getting a check in 2020?

Probably right. In all cases then.