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Who are the #3 and #4 Prospects?


Tony-OH

Who are the #3 and #4 Prospects?  

65 members have voted

  1. 1. Who are the #3 and #4 Prospects?

    • Hall and Mountcastle
    • Hall and Kjerstad
    • Kjerstad and Mountcastle
    • Mountcastle and Hall
    • Mountcastle and Kjerstad

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  • Poll closed on 10/13/20 at 13:00

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I voted 5 minutes ago and already forgot what I voted.

that said, thinking Mountcastle‘a probability is essentially 100% right now as a very nice stick and average LF/1b. He’s valuable and here, so I say he’s 3. Went with Kjerstad at 4 on draft pedigree and some of the gaps in Hall’s game.

Personally, I love Hall on massive upside, but I’m saying he’s 5 here, which is nice.

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2 hours ago, Philip said:

Happ is a fine choice. If Akin is like Happ, being LF is a big asset, and that’s a serviceable rotation guy for years. 

I'd say that Happ is not a floor for Akin, more like a realistic ceiling. If he improves his command. I agree that would not be a bad outcome at all. 

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I don't think Mountcastle is 100% to be a successful major leaguer for all his years of team control. He's had just over a month of Major League playing time. I agree it's very likely he'll have at least a handful of good to great years for the Orioles, but there's also a chance he has trouble to adjusting back to the league's adjustments, gets injured, gets his lack of patience exploited. I mean, eyeball test here but he was swinging at high fastballs the way Adam Jones used to swing at low and away sliders. Jonesy eventually mostly fixed the problem, but Mountcastle may or may not. He wasn't exactly the most coachable minor leaguer.

I'd say it's probably like 60% he's a 2-3 win player on average while under team control, 20% chance he's better than that and 20% chance he's worse than that

If we assume DL Hall is something like 20% chance to be TOR, 30% chance to be mid rotation, 30% chance to be an excellent reliever and 20% chance to have little to no major league success, I can see gambling on that profile over Mountacastle

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12 hours ago, LookinUp said:

I voted 5 minutes ago and already forgot what I voted.

that said, thinking Mountcastle‘a probability is essentially 100% right now as a very nice stick and average LF/1b. He’s valuable and here, so I say he’s 3. Went with Kjerstad at 4 on draft pedigree and some of the gaps in Hall’s game.

Personally, I love Hall on massive upside, but I’m saying he’s 5 here, which is nice.

Nailed it, for once. :)

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For what it’s worth, here’s where our top prospects rank on Fangraphs’ The Board:

Rutschman 3

Rodriguez 22

Mountcastle 84

Hall 89

Kjerstad 103

After that they have Henderson, Vavra, Akin, McKenna, Baumann.   Don’t really understand the love for McKenna.   

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