Jump to content

Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?


Tony-OH

Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?  

57 members have voted

  1. 1. Who are the #5 and #6 Prospects?

    • Baumann and Hall
    • Hall and Baumann
    • Hall and Henderson
    • Henderson and Hall
    • Henderson and Baumann

This poll is closed to new votes


Recommended Posts

6 minutes ago, wildcard said:

I guess that depends on whether DL Hall is progressing as he needs to maintain his status as a top of the rotation starter (a #1 or #2)?  If he is not achieving that progress or  regressing that would be sad.  

Falling on the list seems to indicate that he is not progressing as fast as other prospects at the very least.

The question is whether Hall is falling or Mountcastle etc are rising. Other guys moving up does not necessarily imply that Hall has underachieved, although I admit his BB numbers are concerning. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Frobby said:

On Baumann, I’ll wait to see what Tony reports he heard.   What I heard from Matt Blood’s interview on Inside the Yard was that Baumann had developed a very good curve over the offseason, to complement his fastball and slider that were already plus pitches.   So, I think the “reliever risk” with him has been greatly reduced.   It will be interesting to hear what Tony has been told about that.   

As to Hall, I’m not going to pretend I’m not worried about his apparent deficiencies in control and command.   I’m less worried about the fact that he got moved down the list than I am that he has some issues to address.

I’ve never been a guy who thinks a good pitcher is more important than having a good a good position player.   They’re both important.   Honestly, the impact of one good pitcher is shrinking because they throw fewer and fewer innings, whereas the good position players are getting the same playing time as always.   

You must have read or heard about Baumann from some place else because I just listen to the Matt Blood interview on Inside the Yard and he doesn't talk about Baumann other than to say that the Norfolk rotation could be special with  Lowther, Wells, Baumann and Bradish.   Blood was very impressed with Bradish.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, RZNJ said:

I think it's fair to say that if Hall had made significant progress this year in the command department he probably would have been 2 or 3 on this list.  I share a little disappointment that Tony does not feel he made that progress. 

Yea, I guess I can see this POV.

The only thing I would say is that the players that jumped ahead of him basically did so because of MLB success and draft status.  That’s really Hall’s fault.  
 

I think you can also make the argument that you would rather have Hall over Mountcastle and Henderson.  Tony didn’t put him there but others will likely disagree. I would guess Tony will be one of the few, if not the only one, that has Hall  behind Henderson.  
 

We will see..won’t surprise me to see Hall in the top 4 on many lists.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, wildcard said:

You must have read or heard about Baumann from some place else because I just listen to the Matt Blood interview on Inside the Yard and he doesn't talk about Baumann other than to say that the Norfolk rotation could be special with  Lowther, Wells, Baumann and Bradish.   Blood was very impressed with Bradish.

My mistake, it was the Kennie Steenstra interview on “Inside the Yard” I was thinking of.    Here’s how I paraphrased it after listening to that interview:

“Said Baumann is ‘an animal’ on the mound with great velocity that carries through the zone.    Said he developed a very good curve ball over thewinter to complement his fastball/slider.”

I am very interested to see where Bradish is going to appear on this list.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, Frobby said:

My mistake, it was the Kennie Steenstra interview on “Inside the Yard” I was thinking of.    Here’s how I paraphrased it after listening to that interview:

“Said Baumann is ‘an animal’ on the mound with great velocity that carries through the zone.    Said he developed a very good curve ball over thewinter to complement his fastball/slider.”

I am very interested to see where Bradish is going to appear on this list.

 

Thanks for the correction.

All that was before Baumann's season ending injury.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Thanks for the correction.

All that was before Baumann's season ending injury.

I’m not downgrading him at all for his injury, unless and until we hear that it’s something serious.   The initial report was:  

The strain is not a long-term concern and it should improve with continued rest and rehab, the source said. Surgery is not a consideration.

https://theathletic.com/2055750/2020/09/09/orioles-pitching-prospect-michael-baumann-shut-down-with-elbow-strain/?source=dailyemail

Roch later reported:

Pitching prospect Michael Baumann was shut down a few weeks ago with a flexor mass strain, but he’s expected to be full-go in spring training. There’s no ligament damage. It’s muscular, which is good news.

https://www.masnsports.com/school-of-roch/2020/09/elias-conducts-season-ending-review-on-final-weekend.html

So, I’m not saying there’s nothing to worry about, but there’s not enough evidence of a significant problem to warrant downgrading Baumann at this point.  
 

(Sorry for the varying font sizes, it’s from cutting and pasting and difficult to fix on my phone.)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • ZiPS being an inhuman thing incapable of recency bias is not much out on Holliday.    It only dings his 2025-2029 forecast WAR by about 3% today relative to what it was forecasting this spring. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/reassessing-the-future-for-this-seasons-disappointing-rookies/ Jackson Holliday’s numbers didn’t take a big hit for a few reasons. First, and most importantly, despite a really lousy debut in the majors, he played well enough in the minors — plus he’s so young and his résumé is so strong — that his small-sample struggles barely register. By reverse-o-fying Holliday’s major league woes into an untranslated minor league line and including it in his overall Triple-A production, ZiPS estimates that he would’ve had a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A this season, down from his actual mark of 142. A 20-year-old shortstop with a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A would still top everybody’s prospect list.
    • Kjerstad should also get some reps in at first so he can be an option there as well, although now is probably not the time, best for him to DH for the rest of the season. He had 8 starts at first at AAA this season and 37 starts there between AA and AAA in 2023.
    • In Grich’s case, I think his OBP skills weren’t appreciated at the time.  He was a .266 lifetime hitter in an era when that was maybe 10 points above average, but his .371 OBP was more like 45-50 points above average.  But OBP just wasn’t very valued at the time.  
    • We don’t have a current combo that is ideal. You have to go with the best possible grouping you have.
    • Yep, we're in agreement on the 70 rWAR threshold.  A championship would help Manny's cause, though I'm not sure if that's in the cards for him in the near future.  He needs a big moment on a big stage, too....as silly as that sounds, I do believe it matters in the eyes of some voters. Not to derail, but Whitaker is a guy that belongs in the HoF, too.  I'm not sure why Grich never got serious consideration.
    • I’ve always felt that 70 rWAR was the line between having to justify why someone shouldn’t be in the HOF versus justifying why they should.  In other words, if you’re over 70, there needs to be a reason for you NOT to be in.  There are 70 position players over 70 WAR, and the only ones not in are Bonds, Pujols (not yet eligible), Trout (not yet eligible), Rose, Bill Dahlen, Lou Whitaker, Raffy Palmeiro, Bobby Grich, and Carlos Beltran.  Really, only Dahlen, Whitaker and Grich have no obvious reason why they’re not in.  And I wouldn’t bet against Beltran getting in eventually.  He’s gotten  46% and 57% of the ballots his first two tries.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...