Neither were last year's D'backs, but there they were in the Series and they didn't have half the O's lineup or front line players. The idea that the best teams have few or no weaknesses is rarely true, and the idea that the best teams always win the Series is certainly not.
I think if any of us were being realistic and serious about developing a projection system we would have to give substantial weight to previous year performances. Even in mid-June we're well below the thresholds where many current year numbers are more signal than noise. If it were me I'd probably equally weight this and last year's performances for most players, and give some weight to years prior to 2023.
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