Teixeira watch part IX....The final stages?

[bryanman8]

Aren't we just about the only ones left?

Red Sox already said they're out...questionable, but they apparently haven't spoken since then

Angels definitely out

Yanks say they were never in, haven't made an offer

Nats say they won't win him

Is he ours?

[PaulBako]

heres an attempt to discern the actual upgrade in wins Tex gives the Sox from http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/sox_therapy/discussion/teixeiras_potential_impact_on_the_red_sox/

Youk at 1B: +20 wRAA, +4 UZR, - 12.5 positional adjustment, +20 (above replacement level) = 31.5 runs above replacement

Lowell at 3B (~130 g): +2.6 wRAA, +7 UZR, +2 positional adjustment, +17 (above replacement level) = 28.6 runs above replacement

Total: ~60 Runs above replacement

Now here's now it looks with Tex coming in to play 1B and Youk moving to 3B:

Teixeira at 1B: +33 wRAA, +1 UZR, - 12.5 positional adjustment, +20 (above replacement level) = 41.5 runs above replacement

Youk at 3B: +20 wRAA, +9 UZR, +2.5 positional adjustment, +20 (above replacement level) = 51.5 runs above replacement

Total: ~93 Runs above replacement

Total improvement: ~33 runs

For those who don't know what all these stats mean, its basically a 3-5 win upgrade which is important in what looks like to be a dogfight of a division. Not sure Dunn will make much of a difference in the Sox lineup.

Too many confusing stats!

[PaulBako]

Aren't we just about the only ones left?

Red Sox already said they're out...questionable, but they apparently haven't spoken since then

Angels definitely out

Yanks say they were never in, haven't made an offer

Nats say they won't win him

Is he ours?

He might just be ours !

[trueoriolesfan]

Aren't we just about the only ones left?

Red Sox already said they're out...questionable, but they apparently haven't spoken since then

Angels definitely out

Yanks say they were never in, haven't made an offer

Nats say they won't win him

Is he ours?

who knows anymore this is all given me a headache:(

[pmurray34]

Too many confusing stats!

yea i had to look some up, its basically a 3-5 win upgrade from last season.

[zff4]

He might just be ours !

For God's sake will someone display some dark pessimism here before we jinx this?

[hihop07]

For God's sake will someone display some dark pessimism here before we jinx this?

Ask bigbird!

[MarylandTerp08]

For God's sake will someone display some dark pessimism here before we jinx this?

Here you go, http://masnsports.com/masnblogs/roch-kubatko-1/

[Miller192]

yea i had to look some up, its basically a 3-5 win upgrade from last season.

Sure, but you have to look at the replacement costs per win in that equation.

I'll dig it up.....

[Rockbird]

Aren't we just about the only ones left?

Red Sox already said they're out...questionable, but they apparently haven't spoken since then

Angels definitely out

Yanks say they were never in, haven't made an offer

Nats say they won't win him

Is he ours?

O's to Tex: You could be mine!

[Sports Guy]

yea i had to look some up, its basically a 3-5 win upgrade from last season.

The question is, how much of an improvement is it with a healthy Lowell?

Obviously, Tex is better but is it worth it for the Sox to spend that kind of money?

Of course, who knows if Lowell will be healthy and if he is, will he still be the same player he was before?

[PaulBako]

For God's sake will someone display some dark pessimism here before we jinx this?

Tex is going to sign with the sucks and hit .320 with 40 homers and 130 rbi's almost every year of the contract. He will show all his Boston Red Sux stuff to the Oriole fans. He will then go to the hall of fame, wearing a Boston cap.

Good enough?

[mattman0182]

For God's sake will someone display some dark pessimism here before we jinx this?

I wont have much confidence during this thing. I wont be convinced until ink meets paper. I am almost convinced he is going to Boston and thats my honest opinion.

[hihop07]

Tex is going to sign with the sucks and hit .320 with 40 homers and 130 rbi's almost every year of the contract. He will show all his Boston Red Sux stuff to the Oriole fans. He will then go to the hall of fame, wearing a Boston cap.

Good enough?

He asked for dark. Not downright evil.

[pmurray34]

The question is, how much of an improvement is it with a healthy Lowell?

Obviously, Tex is better but is it worth it for the Sox to spend that kind of money?

Of course, who knows if Lowell will be healthy and if he is, will he still be the same player he was before?

i dont think its safe to assume either lowell or papi come back 100% next year and with drew's history of injuries a lot could go wrong this year without tex. Even if all those players stay healthy and perform well, it would still be difficult to compete with the yankees and rays. I don't think tex is such a luxury to the sox as many think.