Jump to content

FG’s Longenhagen top Os prospect list..Cowser at 12!


dzorange

Recommended Posts

Surprised by some of this. Notably that Cowser is so low and that both Ortiz and Povich are so high. Both players still have a lot to prove. Mayo seems a little high too. It’s still cool to see a different perspective though…really goes to show how subjective these things really are. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

They're really high on Jackson.  On the big Board, he's ahead of  Chourio -- one of the big pop prospects of 2022.

They've really knocked Grayson.  On the big Board he's currently in the 9th spot (and a ton of teams still to release).  Behind Espino and Bobby Miller currently.  Perez and Painter aren't ranked yet.  

I wouldn't be shocked if FG is the high watermark for Ortiz.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, joelala said:

Wow. Would love someone to ask him a question about it on Twitter. 

What would you ask? He goes into his reasoning pretty in-depth in the write-up. Thinks Cowser can't stick in CF, and had enough swing and miss issues in 2022 to think he ends up as more of a platoon player in a corner. Not saying I agree, but he's assuming that as the most likely outcome now. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Overall he’s not as bullish on our farm system as some.  Downgraded Rodriguez from 65 to 55 - seems off-base to me.  Last year he had us with 45 prospects rated 35+ or higher, this year it’s only 38.   And, as noted, Cowser all the way down to 45.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Impressive comps for Gunnar!

On a universal prospect continuum, Henderson grades out a shade below some of the 70 FV or better prospects from recent years like Shohei Ohtani, Wander Franco, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and (gulp) Gavin Lux (who is now tracking like a 60, thank goodness) because we’re talking about a corner bat with what might be a 45-grade hit tool. Still, he’s poised to be a franchise cornerstone for the Orioles’ looming renaissance.

Grayson - the most negative write-up I've seen on him.  Really factoring in the injury, but they did cite a velo and spin/break drop-off.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, deward said:

What would you ask? He goes into his reasoning pretty in-depth in the write-up. Thinks Cowser can't stick in CF, and had enough swing and miss issues in 2022 to think he ends up as more of a platoon player in a corner. Not saying I agree, but he's assuming that as the most likely outcome now. 

Sounds like he has some of the same concerns as I have but dinged him more for them or just felt he liked other players better. Our assessments are pretty close though I probably give him a better chance to overcome his issues.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Good point, no other metropolitan area has more than one team.
    • Could it be that they allowed the Gnats to reside within 30 minutes of their home. Effectively cutting their market in half? 
    • Got my all-time low rarity score on today's game - 6.
    • 41 freaking years and here's this guy with the name pickles telling me I should be happy with 91 wins and getting owned in the playoffs again. 😂 😂 I saw a team that looked terrible the second half and probably didn't even deserve that spot the way they were playing .
    • Lol. Here's the funny they know more then you know. Typical Oriole fan who's happy with getting punched in the mouth. 
    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls (for the second straight year). The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ / .160 ISO (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...