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Roll Tide Hangout Grand Counsel

Roll Tide

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1 hour ago, interloper said:

Yeah I'm aware of his minor league power numbers. I'm not sure I see them translating to the big leagues as readily as Kjerstad, who has the real deal 30-40 bomb power. 

I see Cowser as having a kind of Hays-like bat in the big leagues, but with a lot more walks. That's just my opinion though. 

By looking at his numbers I’d expect 10-15 homers type guy.

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I'm just catching up on this but we know how Elias and company share information outside of their inner circle. They don't. We've heard from players many times say they don't hear from the Orioles abo

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AnythingO's Major Leaguer

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Isn't Cowser the guy whose swing we rebuilt to get to his power? Wasn't he a high contact rate, plate discipline guy in college. It could be that he hasn't settled into whatever type of hitter he will be going forward. Maybe his 27-28% SO rate at AAA indicates he is guessing-cheating to catch up to good FBs?

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interloper Hangout Grand Counsel

interloper

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5 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

So you believe Cowser has well below average power because that’s what 10-15 is?

He's got plenty of power, that's clear, but in MLB I believe he may not be able to fully tap into that power as often as he has in the minors. Like Hays, who also hit 17 home runs in his final year between AA and AAA. I think Cowser's highest upside comp is Markakis with a little more power. But he doesn't have nearly the hit tool that Markakis had. He's going to strike out a ton. 

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Sports Guy Hangout Grand Counsel

Sports Guy

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Just now, interloper said:

He's got plenty of power, that's clear, but in MLB I believe he may not be able to fully tap into that power as often as he has in the minors. Like Hays, who also hit 17 home runs in his final year between AA and AAA. I think Cowser's highest upside comp is Markakis with a little more power. 

Why do you believe that?

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interloper Hangout Grand Counsel

interloper

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8 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Why do you believe that?

Because he strikes out a lot, mostly. Almost a third of his AAA ABs ended in a K. To his credit, he killed it in his other ABs haha.

But I tend to think he's going to have trouble with top level stuff in the big leagues. Or that at least it will take him a long time to adjust. 

Kjerstad had more ABs than Cowser which admittedly benefited him with his home run total, but he had fewer Ks and still managed a strong .376 OBP. I think he's going to be the better ML hitter, and it's not particularly close for me. 

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RZNJ Hangout Grand Counsel

RZNJ

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5 minutes ago, interloper said:

Because he strikes out a lot, mostly. Almost a third of his AAA ABs ended in a K. To his credit, he killed it in his other ABs haha.

But I tend to think he's going to have trouble with top level stuff in the big leagues. Or that at least it will take him a long time to adjust. 

Kjerstad had more ABs than Cowser which benefited him with his home run total, but he fewer Ks and still managed a strong .376 OBP. I think he's going to be the better ML hitter, and it's not particularly close for me. 

If Cowser can’t hit ML pitching he won’t be a regular.  If he can and is, he’ll likely be a 20+ home run guy.   Westburg too.

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Just Regular Hangout Grand Counsel

Just Regular

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49 minutes ago, AnythingO's said:

Isn't Cowser the guy whose swing we rebuilt to get to his power? Wasn't he a high contact rate, plate discipline guy in college. It could be that he hasn't settled into whatever type of hitter he will be going forward. Maybe his 27-28% SO rate at AAA indicates he is guessing-cheating to catch up to good FBs?

A happy April 2024 event would be Cowser smashing a fastball off Gerrit Cole or Yoshinobu Yamamoto or something like that.     The first 100 MLB PA are a small sample, but they did increase the DJ Stewart kind of worries.     I don't yet know that MLB average fastballs won't smother him, and am confident the Rays have the data if 4-seam fastball Stuff+ > "x" = Colton Cowser can't create runs, even if you miss location closer to the heart of the strike zone.

Kjerstad v. Cowser for one starting role if both are in camp could be very interesting.      I believe one of them will be a priority play over one of Mountcastle/O'Hearn for 1B/DH assuming the most days starting outfield is on lock.

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