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By Sports Guy · Posted
Attendance probably ends up in the 2.21-2.22 area. If you are going to raise prices and reduce benefits, you better do something big this offseason if you want that number to be closer to 2.4M next year…which should be the goal. -
By OriolesUpAndDowns · Posted
It is rather ironic that we traded two Minor Leaguers for a major leaguer and now the two Minor Leaguers are in the majors. While the guy we traded for is in AAA. Not apples to apples, I know. -
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With the Aberdeen and Delmarva seasons at an end, it’s time to start thinking about the candidates for O’s minor league pitcher of the year. This post is going to focus on the pitchers at the A+/A level, since Bowie and Norfolk have games remaining that could impact their pitchers’ credentials. Here are the A+/A candidates as I see them (in IP order): Zach Fruit (24, A+) led all O’s A+/A pitchers in IP at 107.0, and posted the best ERA of any A+/A pitcher who threw more than 75 innings, finishing at 3.03. He had a 1.243 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, 2.1 K/BB. Blake Money (22, A) was the low A leader in IP at 103, and had a solid 3.15 ERA, 1.058 WHIP, 10.4 K/9, 4.8 K/BB. Michael Forrett (20, A/A+) threw 99.2 innings to a 3.88 ERA, 1.294 WHIP, 11.2 K/9, 2.8 K/BB. Braxton Bragg (23, A) threw 96.2 innings, posting a 3.36 ERA, 1.173 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, 5.6 K/BB. Edgar Portes (21, A+) tossed 94.1 innings to a 3.34 ERA, 1.336 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, 2.4 K/BB. Trey Gibson (22, A/A+) hurled 92 innings at a 3.72 ERA, 1.228 WHIP, 11.5 K/9, 3.0 K/BB. Riley Cooper (22, A) pitched 88.0 innings at a 3.07 ERA, 1.295 WHIP, 8.6 K/9, 2.2 K/BB Nestor German (22, A/A+) missed more than a month early in the year, but threw 69.0 innings to a 1.59 ERA, 0.937 WHIP, 11.0 K/9, 5.3 K/BB. It is really hard to say which of these candidates I’d promote as the top A+/A candidate for pitcher of the year, which for me is a different exercise from saying which one is our top A+/A pitching prospect. This is more about 2024 performance than future success in the majors. I came up with a point system where I ranked these pitchers 1-8 in each of the 5 stats I listed, then added or subtracted points based on age compared to the level at which the pitcher finished the year (for this exercise, “par” was 22 for low A and 23 for high A). That system yielded the following (lower is better): German 16 Money 17 Bragg 17 Gibson 21 Forrett 23 Portes 24 Fruit 24 Cooper 32 So, I guess I’m going with German as the best candidate from this group. He really was superb in all the rate stats, and the fact that he got promoted while Bragg and Money did not also tells you something. I was reluctant to choose German since his innings were so low compared to most of the others, which is only partially explained by him missing 4-5 weeks of the season. But at the end of the day, he topped the list pretty easily in ERA and WHIP, was a pretty close 2nd in K/BB to Bragg, who’s a year older and finished a level lower, and his 11.0 K/9 only ranked 5th but wasn’t that far below the leader (11.5). So in the end, German would be my pick as the best candidate from this group. (Again, I’m not saying he’s the best prospect of the group.) Who would you choose from this group? I’ll do the AA pitchers next week after their season ends. [FWIW, while this thread is not about prospect ranking, @Tony-OH’s “power rankings” currently have Forrett 10, German 21, Portes 31, Gibson 33, Bragg 39, and Fruit HM. Money and Cooper are not listed.]
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