Scoring Three Runs or Less

[Bahama O's Fan]

The way this team is designed, we are going to lose most games where the offense scores three runs or less.

[UpstateNYfan]

As are most teams, three runs doesn't get you many wins. Where this team will suffer IMO is scratching out a run when they need it, advancing a runner, sac fly, stolen base and taking the extra base.

[DrungoHazewood]

The way this team is designed' date=' we are going to lose most games where the offense scores three runs or less.[/quote']

I'd be willing to bet the Maddux/Smoltz/Glavine Braves had a sub-500 record when scoring three or fewer runs.

[tntoriole]

Part of it is the timing. If that game last night gets past the sixth, it belongs to the pen and we win. The fifth and sixth innings will decide many games this year.

[Frobby]

I'd be willing to bet the Maddux/Smoltz/Glavine Braves had a sub-500 record when scoring three or fewer runs.

The Cardinals last year had a team ERA of 2.94 and an overall record of 100-62. They were 32-47 when scoring three runs or less.

The Pirates had a team ERA of 3.21 and an overall record of 98-64 . They were 20-50 when scoring three runs or less.

The Cubs had a team ERA of 3.36 and an overall record of 97-65 . They were 25-45 when scoring three runs or less.

The Mets had a team ERA of 3.43 and an overall record of 90-72 . They were 20-60 when scoring three runs or less.

Those four teams had the lowest ERAs in baseball, so you can imagine how the rest of the teams fared when scoring three runs or less.

For what it's worth, here is how AL teams did:

0-144 when scoring 0 runs.

17-246 when scoring 1 run.

102-277 when scoring 2 runs.

137-187 when scoring 3 runs.

The key is, don't score 3 runs or less too often. The average AL team scored 3 runs or less 45.7% of the time. The Orioles did it 44.% of the time. So far in 2016, we're at 33.3%. If we could sustain that all year, we'd win a lot of games.

[UpstateNYfan]

Part of it is the timing. If that game last night gets past the sixth, it belongs to the pen and we win. The fifth and sixth innings will decide many games this year.

That's why being able to do little things to manufacture a run or two. This team may have some pretty dramatic late inning wins, but they will have some frustrated "if only" loses.

[Frobby]

April 21: O's beat the Blue Jays 3-2.

[BohKnowsBmore]

The Cardinals last year had a team ERA of 2.94 and an overall record of 100-62. They were 32-47 when scoring three runs or less.

The Pirates had a team ERA of 3.21 and an overall record of 98-64 . They were 20-50 when scoring three runs or less.

The Cubs had a team ERA of 3.36 and an overall record of 97-65 . They were 25-45 when scoring three runs or less.

The Mets had a team ERA of 3.43 and an overall record of 90-72 . They were 20-60 when scoring three runs or less.

Those four teams had the lowest ERAs in baseball, so you can imagine how the rest of the teams fared when scoring three runs or less.

For what it's worth, here is how AL teams did:

0-144 when scoring 0 runs.

17-246 when scoring 1 run.

102-277 when scoring 2 runs.

137-187 when scoring 3 runs.

The key is, don't score 3 runs or less too often. The average AL team scored 3 runs or less 45.7% of the time. The Orioles did it 44.% of the time. So far in 2016, we're at 33.3%. If we could sustain that all year, we'd win a lot of games.

I don't trust this pitching staff to win us many games when our offense scores zero runs.

[Frobby]

I don't trust this pitching staff to win us many games when our offense scores zero runs.

So far, we haven't scored less than two, and we've only had one game where we scored only two. That's a good formula.