Jump to content

HOF announcement in 5 minutes


Frobby

Recommended Posts

59 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

And don't forget what dWAR is: defensive runs above/below average, plus positional adjustment.  Jeter was a shortstop, so he got a positional adjustment of about +8 runs per season.  So he's about 83 runs worse than average over his career after you account for being a shortstop and getting a fudge factor of +8 runs per season.

+20 is a pretty epic defensive season.  Jeter had three different years where bb-ref lists him as -20 to -30 runs above average.  Minus 20.  Defensively he was the bizarro Ozzie Smith.

But Jeter threw out that runner at home in the playoffs against the A’s, so that cancels everything else out about his suspect defense. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Regarding Jeter, I was being sarcastic. Yes he could hit. But shortstop is a defense first position. You want a guy who can defend.

One of the best lines I ever read over at Camden Chat, which is not full of good writers, was, I think, in a recap of an Oriole-Yankee game where I read the following description of an Oriole at-bat: “He hit a grounder to short, which is the same as saying ‘a single up the middle’...”

Oh, did that make me laugh, and it makes me laugh still.

Yes, he hit well enough to be in the Hall, but let’s not have any claptrap about him being the best of all time, or even good. He wasn’t, and only fools and Yankee fans think otherwise.

Edited by Philip
Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, Philip said:

Regarding Jeter, I was being sarcastic. Yes he could hit. But shortstop is a defense first position. You want a guy who can defend.

One of the best lines I ever read over at Camden Chat, which is not full of good writers, was, I think, in a recap of an Oriole-Yankee game where I read the following description of an Oriole at-bat: “He hit a grounder to short, which is the same as saying ‘a single up the middle’...”

Oh, did that make me laugh, and it makes me laugh still.

Yes, he hit well enough to be in the Hall, but let’s not have any claptrap about him being the best of all time, or even good. He wasn’t, and only fools and Yankee fans think otherwise.

It’s ridiculous to say he wasn’t good.    He was an excellent player and his offense more than made up for his defense.    To be clear, his big problem on defense was limited range.    He was a relatively mistake free player.    It’s not like you watched Jeter and slapped your head over his defensive gaffes.    There were just a lot of balls that he couldn’t quite reach.    

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Frobby said:

It’s ridiculous to say he wasn’t good.    He was an excellent player and his offense more than made up for his defense.    To be clear, his big problem on defense was limited range.    He was a relatively mistake free player.    It’s not like you watched Jeter and slapped your head over his defensive gaffes.    There were just a lot of balls that he couldn’t quite reach.    

Can’t make an error if you don’t get to the ball.

1j7rqt.jpg

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

Honus was clearly the best shortstop of all time when compared to his peers, at least if you talk about a whole career in way that you exclude ARod and his half a career at third base.  And PEDs if care about such things.

But Honus played from 1897-1917.  The differences between 1897 or 1910 or 1920 baseball and today's are stark.  I could piece together a case that the best team in MLB in 1897 would struggle in the Eastern League today.  A fair bit of Honus' distance between him and average and him and replacement is the fact that an average or replacement level player of his day wouldn't even remotely be a major leaguer in 2019.  You have to at least consider that when calling someone from 120 years ago the greatest of all time.

But baseball evolved, in large part because of players like Wagner elevated the game to such a degree, that they set a new standard by which others were judged.  

Yes, it you simply teleported Richie Martin back to 1905, he would probably be an All-Star.

Didn't Ted Williams admit he wouldn't have hit .400 if he had to play in the league after 1960?

If you wanted to make the case of Ruth as the GOAT - his single season and career records have long since been eclipsed by more recent players.  And if he were to play today, he would in all probability be a Manny Ramirez power-only DH type, with 40ishHRS and .250 average, at best.. But at the time he was hitting more home runs, than many entire teams.  So he in essence paved the way for later guys like Mantle, Maris, Aaron, McGwire, Bonds and Sosa. 

 

Edited by GuidoSarducci
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, GuidoSarducci said:

But baseball evolved, in large part because of players like Wagner elevated the game to such a degree, that they set a new standard by which others were judged.  

Yes, it you simply teleported Richie Martin back to 1905, he would probably be an All-Star.

Didn't Ted Williams admit he wouldn't have hit .400 if he had to play in the league after 1960?

If you wanted to make the case of Ruth as the GOAT - his single season and career records have long since been eclipsed by more recent players.  And if he were to play today, he would in all probability be a Manny Ramirez power-only DH type, with 40ishHRS and .250 average, at best.. But at the time he was hitting more home runs, than many entire teams.  So he in essence paved the way for later guys like Mantle, Maris, Aaron, McGwire, Bonds and Sosa. 

 

Ty Cobb...In 1960, asked by a reporter towards the end of his life what he thought he would hit playing today and Cobb said  “Probably  around .290”   The reporter said “why so low?” and Cobb said “because I am 74 damn years old”. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • ZiPS being an inhuman thing incapable of recency bias is not much out on Holliday.    It only dings his 2025-2029 forecast WAR by about 3% today relative to what it was forecasting this spring. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/reassessing-the-future-for-this-seasons-disappointing-rookies/ Jackson Holliday’s numbers didn’t take a big hit for a few reasons. First, and most importantly, despite a really lousy debut in the majors, he played well enough in the minors — plus he’s so young and his résumé is so strong — that his small-sample struggles barely register. By reverse-o-fying Holliday’s major league woes into an untranslated minor league line and including it in his overall Triple-A production, ZiPS estimates that he would’ve had a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A this season, down from his actual mark of 142. A 20-year-old shortstop with a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A would still top everybody’s prospect list.
    • Kjerstad should also get some reps in at first so he can be an option there as well, although now is probably not the time, best for him to DH for the rest of the season. He had 8 starts at first at AAA this season and 37 starts there between AA and AAA in 2023.
    • In Grich’s case, I think his OBP skills weren’t appreciated at the time.  He was a .266 lifetime hitter in an era when that was maybe 10 points above average, but his .371 OBP was more like 45-50 points above average.  But OBP just wasn’t very valued at the time.  
    • We don’t have a current combo that is ideal. You have to go with the best possible grouping you have.
    • Yep, we're in agreement on the 70 rWAR threshold.  A championship would help Manny's cause, though I'm not sure if that's in the cards for him in the near future.  He needs a big moment on a big stage, too....as silly as that sounds, I do believe it matters in the eyes of some voters. Not to derail, but Whitaker is a guy that belongs in the HoF, too.  I'm not sure why Grich never got serious consideration.
    • I’ve always felt that 70 rWAR was the line between having to justify why someone shouldn’t be in the HOF versus justifying why they should.  In other words, if you’re over 70, there needs to be a reason for you NOT to be in.  There are 70 position players over 70 WAR, and the only ones not in are Bonds, Pujols (not yet eligible), Trout (not yet eligible), Rose, Bill Dahlen, Lou Whitaker, Raffy Palmeiro, Bobby Grich, and Carlos Beltran.  Really, only Dahlen, Whitaker and Grich have no obvious reason why they’re not in.  And I wouldn’t bet against Beltran getting in eventually.  He’s gotten  46% and 57% of the ballots his first two tries.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...