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Analysis of 2020 Rule 5 Eligible players


Tony-OH

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27 minutes ago, MCO'sFan said:

I too would like to see Pop protected. There are a few guys on the 40 that I would let go to protect him. I like the high reward/risk guys. If he can get to his ceiling, he could be a force in the bullpen.

Pop could be a force in the ML pen this coming season.

If he’s healthy and performing , I would expect him to be a potential call up by June.

Realistically, he’s a candidate in the second half of the year since he will be rusty but he could move fast.

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I don't expect the Orioles to sign many (or really any) free agents to Major League contracts and with that, there is space on the 40-man to protect a number of players. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe we have 5 spots open now which should mean Diaz, Baumann, Lowther, Wells and Pop can all be protected. I would protect Bannon and, maybe, Hanifee as well. There is plenty of guys who you could clear to make room. I expect Nunez to be gone (trade or non-tender). I would be surprised if we moved on from Ruiz (and would be fine with giving Bannon and chance there instead). I could see Alberto moved. I could see Severino moved.

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1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

As a one inning guy out of the pen he could theoretically make the team with a solid spring.  Not a lot of craft needed to pitch the sixth inning and if he's already on the forty...

He needs to dominate AAA for at least 3 years before we call him up.  I say bring him up in May 2025 so he’s still under control for our 2031 playoff run. 

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11 hours ago, RZNJ said:

Like the vast majority of rule 5 picks.  

And Cortes had put up a 1.49 ERA and 10.6 K/9 in 48.1 AAA innings when selected. Which is why again that pitchers like Wells are rarely taken in a rule 5 draft and if they are, they don't last with their new team.

Here's what Elias may be thinking though. The chances of Wells being taken is very slim. If he doesn't put him on the roster, he gets whole other year of protecting Wells without losing an option year. There are several guys right now that he can jettison without concern it better players are DFA'd from other organizations.

Saying that, the Orioles are pretty deep with Wells caliber left-handed starting pitcher with Zimmermann and Kevin Smith the most obvious AA or higher comps. 

I believe Lowther is step ahead of them and Baumann above them all, so the Orioles have a nice crop of readyor nearly ready young starters.

By next August, I could see the Orioles rotation including:
Means
Akin
Kremer
Baumann
Lowther

Zimmermann would be the other guy who could still be in the rotation (I think he's the favorite as a 5th starter right now) with Wells and Smith in the wings.

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Some people take rule five guys because they have incredibly high ceilings, but it is my hope that we will take a guy who is major-league ready and can contribute at a legitimate level. 
Santander is the best rule five pick since Mark Canha, But Flaherty Was a valuable piece of the team for a long time.

I’m hoping we can find a third baseman with whom to replace Ruiz. We are apparently set at SS and 2B, So if we get a third baseman, I guess we could spend the next pick on a pitching possibility, but I think we already have lots of those.

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3 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

Pop could be a force in the ML pen this coming season.

If he’s healthy and performing , I would expect him to be a potential call up by June.

Realistically, he’s a candidate in the second half of the year since he will be rusty but he could move fast.

I agree

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