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This might explain the Orioles clear change in approach. If you see a pitch you like on the first pitch take a big fat rip at it. League average SLG is .550 and the O's are at .700. So there's some analytical wisdom behind going up and hacking. -
I can't find the article right now, but I recall reading a while back that there was some evidence that hitting tons of home runs correlates with beating your pythagorean expectation. That's one of the reasons why the early-mid 2010s Orioles teams with prime Chris Davis frequently beat our expected win totals. Since we're at or close to the stabilization rate for a lot of HR/power numbers I don't think the conclusion here is that our style of play is unsustainable. Also, offense around the league is in the absolute gutter, so the runs we're able to score are pretty meaningful.
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Then again, a game with all three of them homering would be sweet! (Bonus question: which outcome is more likely?) -
I appreciate that he’s not flipping coins, and I know he has a reason for what he does, but a lot of the time, his reasoning is objectively bad. And that’s not really a source of debate. Just like Buck had a reason for saving Britton…but it was a really bad reason. any opinion, by definition, is debatable. A individual decision can be objectively good or bad whether or not it actually succeeds. Overall, most of the time we can give him the benefit of the doubt, but there have been lots of glaring bad decisions. I’ve mentioned Ned Yost. Even the folks at Royals review thought he was an idiot, but he had a splendid team that worked really well for a couple seasons. -
By oh-wee-ohs · Posted
He's young and has a very boisterous personality. This funk literally started the day he was crowned player of the week. He's trying too hard and pressing to get back to / repeat that performance. Another learning experience. Hopefully he locks in soon and levels that mentality out. I also think Jackson being sent down has probably made him feel pressured as well. They seemed to be pretty close. The culmination of those things just screams trying too hard to me -
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Okay, I am going to lay into Cowser a bit here. In the majors, a runner on 3B with less than two outs is advanced slightly more than half the time. A runner on 2B with nobody out also is advanced a little more than half the time. Cowser has had the most opportunities with a runner on 3B and less than two out of anyone on the team, and he’s 4 for 14 (28.6%) in those situations. He’s also had the most opportunities with a runner on second and nobody out, and has advanced the runner only 3 times in 9 opportunities. In RISP situations, he’s hitting .222/.250/.417. In Late & Close situations, he’s hitting .095/.130/.238. In high leverage situations, he’s hitting .048/.046/.095. Honestly, right now he’s about the last guy I want to see up in an important situation. And that’s ridiculous for a guy who’s hitting .250/.331/.500 overall. He’s got to get his head screwed on straight when it matters most.
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