Prospect Power Rankings 2023

[Just Regular]

Bit over a week late, but happy 17th birthday Ayden Almeyda, who I guess might still be doing 11th grade, and I hope we'll see in complex ball later this summer.

I guess for Elias the choice will be if he needs to go to the Dominican Summer league, or if at 17 already he's advanced enough for the Florida Complex League.    Basallo at 17 went 279/350/424 there last summer, but had had a full Age 16 DOSL season in 2021.

[e16bball]

On 4/25/2023 at 3:06 AM, Gurgi said:

Anyone slightly worried that none of the 22 picks are doing well in their SSS?  Fabian, Wagner, Beavers, Young.  No one is doing good.  Just Jackson Holiday.  

I was actually going to post that I think Beavers is flying under the radar a bit at 12, so I appreciate the segue. 

In fairness to your post, he’s had a couple strong games since you made it (as has Fabian, for that matter, so it looks like an excellent motivational tactic), but he’s now sitting at an .882 OPS, with a BB rate over 13% and a K rate at just over 22%. Checking in with a wRC+ of 134, without any wacky SSS batted ball luck to make it feel like fool’s gold. 

Like every human being thus far created, he’s not hitting for power at Ripken Stadium (.345 SLG), but he’s still posting a pretty strong OBP (.353) at home. And he’s tearing the cover off the ball everywhere else (1.073 OPS on the road). Love seeing this sort of production, pretty much consistently since he donned orange, out of such a toolsy dude. Maybe the quirky swing gets exploited more at higher levels, but whatever they’re doing seems to be working for now.

[sportsfan8703]

What a rebound for Willems?  He was looking like a bust. We even have good Catcher depth in our system. 

[Tony-OH]

On 3/31/2023 at 10:36 AM, Tony-OH said:

These "power rankings" are a fun way to track prospects throughout the year. They are not "official" prospect rankings that are completed at the end of the year after a full evaluations. To be eligible for the list, a player must play at least one game on an active roster. Players starting off in extended spring training or in the DSL are not eligible until they play a game in June. The list will be increased to 40 players once the short season clubs start up. (Updated as of 24 April)

RK	Name	POS	PR	U/D	Team	INJ
1	Jackson Holliday	SS	1		DEL (A)
2	Grayson Rodriguez	RHP	2		BAL
3	Joey Ortiz	SS	3		Nor (AAA)
4	Jordan Westburg	SS/3B	4		Nor (AAA)
5	Heston Kjerstad	1B	5		BOW (AA)
6	Colton Cowser	OF	7	Up	Nor (AAA)
7	Samuel Basallo	C	8	Up	DEL (A)
8	Coby Mayo	3B/RF	10	Up	BOW (AA)
9	D.L. Hall	LHP	9		Nor (AAA)
10	Cade Povich	LHP	11	Up	BOW (AA)
11	Connor Norby	2B	6	Down	Nor (AAA)
12	Dylan Beavers	OF	12		ABN (A+)
13	Jud Fabian	OF	13		ABN (A+)
14	Trace Bright	RHP	14		ABN (A+)
15	Chayse McDermott	RHP	15		BOW (AA)
16	Noah Denoyer	RHP	17	Up	Nor (AAA)
17	Creed Willems	C	25	Up	DEL (A)
18	Hudson Haskin	OF	18		Nor (AAA)	7 day-IL
19	Drew Rom	LHP	19		Nor (AAA)
20	Max Wagner	3B	16	Down	ABN (A+)
21	Cesar Prieto	2B	21		BOW (AA)
22	Yennier Cano	RHP	27	Up	BAL
23	Justin Armbruester	RHP	23		BOW (AA)
24	Carlos Tavera	RHP	24		BOW (AA)
25	Stiven Acevedo	OF	UR	New	Del (A)
26	Frederick Bencosme	INF	20	Down	ABN (A+)
27	Maverick Handley	C	26	Down	Nor (AAA)
28	Jean Pinto	RHP	28		ABN (A+)
29	John Rhodes	OF	22	Down	BOW (AA)
30	Chris Vallimont	RHP	UR	New	Nor (AAA)
	Bubble Players	INF			FCL
	Carter Young	SS	29	Down	DEL (A)
	Juan De Los Santos	RHP	30	Down	DEL (A)
	Silas Ardoin	C			Del (A)
	Juan Rojas	LHP			Del (A)
	Anderson De Los Santos	UTL			Del (A)

 

 

[emmett16]

Nice to see Ardoin on the list.  Nice little 3 game hit streak that includes 3 doubles.  Imagine they’d like to get him up to AA before they promote Willems. 

[emmett16]

I see Nuñez made the bubble.  He’s listed as SP tomorrow for Delmarva.  Reading up on him sounds like he has a live arm and a killer slider (60 grade).  Also sounds like an odd body type for a pitcher (short and stocky w/big lower half).  In Fangraphs write  up he was listed as the best arm (velocity wise) of the pitchers we got in the Lopez trade.   Curious if @Tony-OH has seen him throw and any initial impressions.  Gotta say all the sudden there are some intriguing arms in the lower minors.  I plan to watch his outing tomorrow.  11am Game unless there’s a typo.  

[Tony-OH]

11 minutes ago, emmett16 said:

I see Nuñez made the bubble.  He’s listed as SP tomorrow for Delmarva.  Reading up on him sounds like he has a live arm and a killer slider (60 grade).  Also sounds like an odd body type for a pitcher (short and stocky w/big lower half).  In Fangraphs write  up he was listed as the best arm (velocity wise) of the pitchers we got in the Lopez trade.   Curious if @Tony-OH has seen him throw and any initial impressions.  Gotta say all the sudden there are some intriguing arms in the lower minors.  I plan to watch his outing tomorrow.  11am Game unless there’s a typo.  

44. Juan Nunez – RHP (FCL/A): Acquired in the Jorge Lopez trade, brings a fastball that sits 94-96, but can touch 98 on occasion. His best offspeed pitch is his slider, though he also has a curveball and change. Has a long way to go command wise, but when he’s on, he has a starter’s repertoire.

Command has a long way to go though.

[LookinUp]

I know Jackson Holliday is a dude, and I know these are power rankings, and I know it'll be moot point in a few weeks when he's no longer eligible, and I know the order doesn't matter that much in the grand scheme of things, but Grayson Rodriguez sure looks like a #1 guy to me.

[RZNJ]

I still like Bencosme and think he’ll be top 15 by mid season.  Last year he had 17 extra base hits of his 83 hits.  This year he has 9 hits.  4 doubles and 1 triple.  Has more walks than strikeouts and his walk rate is much higher than last year.  I think this is a case of a player making some changes, similar to Cowser last year, and taking one step back before he takes two forward.

Also interesting to note that Dylan Beavers is outperforming 2022 Cowser at a younger age (doesn’t turn 22 until August).   Over half of his hits are extra bases.   I think he could be a top 5 guy by the end of the season.

[Tony-OH]

8 hours ago, LookinUp said:

I know Jackson Holliday is a dude, and I know these are power rankings, and I know it'll be moot point in a few weeks when he's no longer eligible, and I know the order doesn't matter that much in the grand scheme of things, but Grayson Rodriguez sure looks like a #1 guy to me.

They're probably 1a and 1b for me, but I would really like to see Rodriguez put some seven inning starts together before anointing him back to #1 by himself. They're both fantastic prospects.

[Tony-OH]

7 hours ago, RZNJ said:

I still like Bencosme and think he’ll be top 15 by mid season.  Last year he had 17 extra base hits of his 83 hits.  This year he has 9 hits.  4 doubles and 1 triple.  Has more walks than strikeouts and his walk rate is much higher than last year.  I think this is a case of a player making some changes, similar to Cowser last year, and taking one step back before he takes two forward.

Also interesting to note that Dylan Beavers is outperforming 2022 Cowser at a younger age (doesn’t turn 22 until August).   Over half of his hits are extra bases.   I think he could be a top 5 guy by the end of the season.

Beavers' start to the season this year is pretty impressive overall especially when you look at him through the Aberdeen lense. Bencosme could still end up a guy, and I certainly love the plate discipline, but I'm not convinced he sticks on the dirt and definitely is not a SS without a huge step forward on his throwing accuracy and overall hands. Next year I'd like to see some power start to play a bit and would like to see him drive the ball a little more consistently.

[Frobby]

12 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

They're probably 1a and 1b for me, but I would really like to see Rodriguez put some seven inning starts together before anointing him back to #1 by himself. They're both fantastic prospects.

I won’t be surprised if Grayson never goes 7 innings this year, between the team’s cautious approach and his tendencies towards high pitch counts.  And I guess that’s okay with me, so long as he tosses some six-inning gems in the playoffs!

[Tony-OH]

3 hours ago, Frobby said:

I won’t be surprised if Grayson never goes 7 innings this year, between the team’s cautious approach and his tendencies towards high pitch counts.  And I guess that’s okay with me, so long as he tosses some six-inning gems in the playoffs!

I tend to agree with you here. Either way, I just would like the Orioles to take the gloves off a bit, but I'm not complaining on the results of late from him.

[Tony-OH]

On 3/31/2023 at 10:36 AM, Tony-OH said:

These "power rankings" are a fun way to track prospects throughout the year. They are not "official" prospect rankings that are completed at the end of the year after a full evaluations. To be eligible for the list, a player must play at least one game on an active roster. Players starting off in extended spring training or in the DSL are not eligible until they play a game in June. The list will be increased to 40 players once the short season clubs start up. (Updated as of 1 May)

RK	Name	POS	PR	U/D	Team	INJ
1	Jackson Holliday	SS	1		DEL (A)
2	Grayson Rodriguez	RHP	2		BAL
3	Joey Ortiz	SS	3		Nor (AAA)
4	Jordan Westburg	SS/3B	4		Nor (AAA)
5	Heston Kjerstad	1B	5		BOW (AA)
6	Colton Cowser	OF	6		Nor (AAA)
7	Samuel Basallo	C	7		DEL (A)
8	Coby Mayo	3B/RF	8		BOW (AA)
9	Cade Povich	LHP	10	UP	BOW (AA)
10	D.L. Hall	LHP	9	DOWN	Nor (AAA)
11	Connor Norby	2B	11		Nor (AAA)
12	Dylan Beavers	OF	12		ABN (A+)
13	Jud Fabian	OF	13		ABN (A+)
14	Chayse McDermott	RHP	15	UP	BOW (AA)
15	Creed Willems	C	17	UP	DEL (A)
16	Noah Denoyer	RHP	16		Nor (AAA)
17	Trace Bright	RHP	14	DOWN	ABN (A+)
18	Yennier Cano	RHP	22	UP	BAL
19	Drew Rom	LHP	19		Nor (AAA)
20	Max Wagner	3B	20		ABN (A+)	7 day-IL
21	Hudson Haskin	OF	18	Down	Nor (AAA)
22	Cesar Prieto	2B	21	Down	BOW (AA)
23	Justin Armbruester	RHP	23		BOW (AA)
24	Carlos Tavera	RHP	24		BOW (AA)
25	Stiven Acevedo	OF	25		Del (A)
26	Frederick Bencosme	INF	26		ABN (A+)
27	Jean Pinto	RHP	28	UP	ABN (A+)
28	Silas Ardoin	C	UR	UP	ABN (A+)
29	Maverick Handley	C	27	DOWN	Nor (AAA)
30	Juan De Los Santos	RHP	UR	UP	DEL (A)
	Bubble Players	INF			FCL
	John Rhodes	OF	29	DOWN	BOW (AA)
	Chris Vallimont	RHP	30	DOWN	Nor (AAA)
	Carter Young	SS			DEL (A)
	Juan Nunez	RHP			Del (A)
	Anderson De Los Santos	UTL			Del (A)

 

May 1st list..

[Just Regular]

Houston, we have a Povich Hall flip.