The thing is, they were never collapses after being good. It was always a collapse from mediocrity to awfulness. Didn't the O's in the "Dark Ages" have the official goal of reaching .500. I can 't imagine that Elias has ever had a goal for the O's to be an average team.
I think he’s just advocating for the second or third best hitting prospect we've had in 20 years in term of age and results. You can really only put Gunnar and Holliday in his category. Adley while being the number 1 prospect was not drafted until Mayo current age. I think people hesitate because they see what happened with Holliday, Cowser and Kjerstad so far. Then forget what happened with Westburg, Gunnar, and Adley. You are talking about 3 of the top 100 players in baseball right now.
The issue with Cano is the classic issue with sinkerballers. Hyde let him rest far too long. There's comprehensive data out there showing that sinkerballers really suffer from too much rest.
That said, Cano is a different pitcher this year. He's throwing his 4 seamer far more this year than last (11% vs. 3%) at the expense of his sinker (48% vs. 55%) and slider (11% vs. 14%).
Another thing, his control and command is off this year. That sinker just isn't living low enough. Same goes for his changeup.
He's nearly tripled his walk rate. Cano is really good when he isn't putting runners on base for free because those groundballs that he gets from his sinker aren't likely to do damage. Now they're doing damage.
I like him very much and I’m very glad we have him. I just keep spelling it wrong. Thanks for the note.
I really do like him, I just have few illusions about his Cy Young chances.
Nice post-I would also add it's not really "conspiracy theory" stuff to entertain the thought that his plans all changed or were altered when it became apparent the Angelos family had to sell the team.
He built the wall in his own words to "attract FA pitching" and then the "take-off" quip. Everything changed when decision to sell the team was made.
I truly believe that Elias's ST/LT plans were colored by the Angelos situation, we will a better idea of his complete plans with supportive ownership.
If you believe that the playoffs/World Series is a crap shot, then you should be fine with the roster as is.
I don't believe that. I believe that the better your high performing talent does in the post season against the other team's best talent, the better your odds of succeeding are.
I don't believe for a second that Irvin is going to magically turn into a pitcher that I would have ANY confidence winning a postseason game on the road in NY or Philly. I don't have confidence that Craig Kimbrel will go into one of those environments against those caliber of lineups/opponents and save 2/3/4 games in a 7 game series. I don't believe it's a good bet to bet on him or Cano succeeding against Soto/Judge or Turner/Harper/Realmuto/Bohm or Ohtani/Betts/Freeman with the season on the line. I just don't.
But I respect your opinion if you believe the opposite.
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