Official 2024 Orioles Wins Poll

[drjohnnyfever1]

Didn't get in under the deadline for the poll, but Opening Day game hasn't started, so I figure I can still vote.  96W's.  They win the Division again.

[ChosenOne21]

10 hours ago, DrinkinWithFermi said:

Bradish has an injury that results in major surgery in most cases. Counting on him to be a significant contributor this year is wildly premature at this juncture.

You're right that UCL injuries require surgery in most cases. However, the fact he hasn't had surgery and instead got a PRP injection suggests that his is incredibly minor and he may be able to avoid surgery. I believe someone posted some paper here that said something like 2/3s of players who get a PRP injection instead of Tommy John avoid surgery for the next five years.

If the only information we had was "Bradish has a UCL injury" then yeah, our best guess would be that he won't pitch much or at all this year. But we have more information than that.

[Frobby]

On 3/28/2024 at 9:04 PM, ChosenOne21 said:

You're right that UCL injuries require surgery in most cases. However, the fact he hasn't had surgery and instead got a PRP injection suggests that his is incredibly minor and he may be able to avoid surgery. I believe someone posted some paper here that said something like 2/3s of players who get a PRP injection instead of Tommy John avoid surgery for the next five years.

If the only information we had was "Bradish has a UCL injury" then yeah, our best guess would be that he won't pitch much or at all this year. But we have more information than that.

Some people just prefer the defense mechanism of being pessimistic.  At this point, I’d say the odds that Bradish pitches a major league game before June 30 are well over 50%.   How well he pitches, and whether he ends up exacerbating the tear, are more dicey questions.   But the O’s and Bradish wouldn’t be pursuing this course if it were a longshot for Bradish to return, IMO.

[fansince1988]

96