Jump to content

Deadline Predictions


Greg Pappas

Recommended Posts

We don't need to trach for a LHP just for the sake of getting a lefty. We need to make the best deal we can for the best pitcher we can. I don't think Snell is getting traded. Crochet seems like a risk Elias wouldn't send an elite prospect for. Kikuchi is a JAG. Skubal... we'll see. That's the only big name that makes sense. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, emmett16 said:

Thanks for pointing that out. I hadn’t realized that. 

For the record I don’t want either as an impact guy.  I wouldn’t be upset if we picked up an innings eater type to absorb some load.  

Agreed. On that front, I think I actually might prefer Kikuchi, because his upside is probably higher. He’s got good enough stuff that you could imagine him getting hot and ripping off a month of great starts at the right time — particularly once the weather gets a little cool again.

Edited by e16bball
Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 hours ago, CaptainRedbeard said:

My prediction is Fedde and Brebbia or Kopech. I think it will be a rental or 1.5 yr SP and a RHP middle reliever type and that would be all in one deal.

I really like Fedde. I think we should in theory get a LH SP because we have the WALL, but Fedde might be the best fit.

We don’t know if Snell is available. Skubal and Crochet are awfully expensive with limited history of high IP.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, G54377 said:

We don't need to trach for a LHP just for the sake of getting a lefty. We need to make the best deal we can for the best pitcher we can. I don't think Snell is getting traded. Crochet seems like a risk Elias wouldn't send an elite prospect for. Kikuchi is a JAG. Skubal... we'll see. That's the only big name that makes sense. 

Tyler Anderson has one more year of control. The Angels are bad….

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, G54377 said:

We don't need to trach for a LHP just for the sake of getting a lefty. We need to make the best deal we can for the best pitcher we can. I don't think Snell is getting traded. Crochet seems like a risk Elias wouldn't send an elite prospect for. Kikuchi is a JAG. Skubal... we'll see. That's the only big name that makes sense. 

What is a JAG?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, CaptainRedbeard said:

My prediction is Fedde and Brebbia or Kopech. I think it will be a rental or 1.5 yr SP and a RHP middle reliever type and that would be all in one deal.

That’s my call as well. Can see another RP from elsewhere as well. 

50/50 they get RH CF like a Pillar. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think we make several deals that aren’t as sexy as we’re hoping for. My prediction is Norby/Stowers/Chace for JP Sears. He’s a lefty, experienced, an innings eater, under club control through 2028, won’t cost us any top prospects, and we’ve made multiple deals with Oakland under Elias. Not what I’m advocating, just what I’m predicting (or something similar). I wouldn’t dream of trying to predict what kind of reliever Elias would trade for……I mean look at who he’s acquired for the bullpen in the past. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, UMDTerrapins said:

I think we make several deals that aren’t as sexy as we’re hoping for. My prediction is Norby/Stowers/Chace for JP Sears. He’s a lefty, experienced, an innings eater, under club control through 2028, won’t cost us any top prospects, and we’ve made multiple deals with Oakland under Elias. Not what I’m advocating, just what I’m predicting (or something similar). I wouldn’t dream of trying to predict what kind of reliever Elias would trade for……I mean look at who he’s acquired for the bullpen in the past. 

Sears would be a better Cole Irvin in a Gibson better than Lyles kind of way.     Maybe Irvin could be part of the return as I don't believe SIGBOT would want 3 pitchers like Sears, Povich, Irvin in one rotation.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, Just Regular said:

Maybe 100/0 if Cowser instead of Kjerstad is a very big piece that goes.

True. One can impact the other. 
 

I don’t see us moving any “big piece” myself. I see the next tier being dealt. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, UMDTerrapins said:

I think we make several deals that aren’t as sexy as we’re hoping for. My prediction is Norby/Stowers/Chace for JP Sears. He’s a lefty, experienced, an innings eater, under club control through 2028, won’t cost us any top prospects, and we’ve made multiple deals with Oakland under Elias. Not what I’m advocating, just what I’m predicting (or something similar). I wouldn’t dream of trying to predict what kind of reliever Elias would trade for……I mean look at who he’s acquired for the bullpen in the past. 

I'm not saying that you are wrong. But didn't we just try the lefty "innings eater" from the A's in Cole Irvin? That hasn't exactly worked out wonderfully for us. Not sure why it makes sense to repeat the same type of move two years later with a team who is much better?

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, UMDTerrapins said:

I think we make several deals that aren’t as sexy as we’re hoping for. My prediction is Norby/Stowers/Chace for JP Sears. He’s a lefty, experienced, an innings eater, under club control through 2028, won’t cost us any top prospects, and we’ve made multiple deals with Oakland under Elias. Not what I’m advocating, just what I’m predicting (or something similar). I wouldn’t dream of trying to predict what kind of reliever Elias would trade for……I mean look at who he’s acquired for the bullpen in the past. 

I don't see why we would trade for an innings eater. If we make a move it should be to upgrade our rotation for the playoffs, i.e. a #3 or better starter. I agree that Norby and Stowers make the most sense to trade but I would hope for more of a return than a guy like Sears. 

I wouldn't necessarily use the past as a guide for what we will do at the deadline now. We signed Burnes and Kimbrel. This year is different, at least to an extent. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:

I think we get a solid BP arm and a middling starter (Fedde or less).

This would be the "Elias Approach".   I'm fine with that and I think Fedde, for this season, would be a fine #3 for the playoffs.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • It takes Orioles rookies 60 or 70 at bats to get their first two hits.
    • Tell me how can Harbaugh help him when he doesn't know how to help himself. Harbs is the worst at burning timeouts stupidly then not having any when they are needed at crunch time. 
    • Yes the same here. They are going to the playoffs and yet I have no feeling towards it whatsoever. Weird feeling. Like you just know they are going to get bounced in the first round. It looks inevitable. I mean you could make a case the Tigers are more deserving of the Orioles spot. They are playing some great baseball of late. 
    • Man Baltimore sports has not been kind. The Orioles are on a  3 month tailspin and the Ravens did what they do best and blew another double digit 4th quarter lead to a inferior team.  Let's see if the Orioles can right the ship,  though I'm not holding my breath on that one at all. Yikes. 
    • Idk how impactful this was, probably pretty low on the list of problems, but this is the 2nd straight week that Lamar threw the ball late in the game and the receiver was unable to get oob.  The ball to Bateman is probably excusable because we had more time on the clock and we needed the deep ball to be in position to make a run, but this time throwing a 12 yard dump to Andrews was just straight up stupid IMO.  I get that they're going to play outside leverage all day every day in this situation but just throw it away and try to take another shot.  Lamar has to have more clock awareness than that,  and Harbaugh has to instill in him the importance of saving those seconds on the clock.
    • Sorry but that response from Fuller sounds to me like too many words, concepts, abstractions, and if that's how he communicates, wordy and convoluted, it's a lot for hitters to carry "into the box." Not to mention all the specifics involved, re. what pitches and locations to look for, all the analytics of how to do the swing and torque the body, etc. I'm no coach but I can imagine a whole season of this approach just becomes information overload. Maybe it's not rocket science, after all (with all due respect to ex-NASA Sig). Maybe the antidote is more Zen: just see the pitch and hit the dang thing.  BTW I think the analytical, overthinking approach is better suited to the pitching side, where you can plan your attack based on all the data. Hitting is more reaction, no time to think. You can't beat pitching using the same approach--rather, need the opposite approach, to counter with instinct and intuition. At least, that's my cheap (2 cents) advice!
    • The proposition that every auction automatically results in an overpay is simplified indeed.  Granted, "kind of true" is a low bar to clear, but still...
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...