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By DrinkinWithFermi · Posted
Santander does exactly ONE thing very well: Hit HRs He doesn't hit for average, he doesn't get on base, he's a very slow runner, and he is a very poor defender. If he stops hitting HRs so often, his value completely evaporates and his contract basically becomes dead money, and the Orioles cannot afford to eat large amounts of dead money like the Dodgers, Mets, and Yankees of the world. I am simply using Trumbo, whose basic tool kit is very similar to Santander's, as a fairly recent, Orioles-related cautionary tale. Trumbo had his big walk year with the Orioles at age 30 and instead of doing the smart, obvious thing and taking the free draft pick, we gave him a big money extension that everyone except the FO knew was probably going to end poorly. Baseball Savant has Santander in the 22nd percentile in terms of overall fielding value. However you want to slice it, he isn't going to make up any lost value from declining offense with his defense. If his ability to slug goes south, the whole contract goes with it, because he has no other tools to make up for that with. -
Santander is -2 OAA this year. He’s averagish to below average. There but there are much worse defensive right fielders such as Adolis Garcia and Castellanos -9, Lane Thomas and Renfroe -8, and Soto -4. Acuna and Tatis are also -2 OAA. In 2016, Mark Trumbo was -15 OAA. They’re not even in the same universe. -
Anthony Santander (age 27-29): .245 / .317 / .477 / .794 124 OPS+ 9.0 rWAR Mark Trumbo (age 27-29): .244 / .299 / .443 / .742 105 OPS+ 2.6 rWAR Is it really very meaningful that Trumbo was the better player when they were significantly younger? 29-year-old Santander is a better player by miles than Trumbo at the same age, and he has been for years. I think that’s what matters most to how you’d project them over the next few years. -
By Grt 2BA FL Gator · Posted
I love Tony and I honestly think we are gonna miss his veteran leadership as much as anything. I’m very happy we have him for this year. But I do think he’d be a bad long term investment. -
By Moose Milligan · Posted
He’s the best player in history. No one can convince me otherwise. I didn’t say he has the most records or the most counting stats or the most MVPs. That’s not what I said. He’s just the best player in baseball history. -
By DrinkinWithFermi · Posted
Trumbo was a DH impersonating a fielder, Santander is just a very poor fielder. It's not a perfect comp (is there really even such a thing?) but he is an absolutely relevant comp for this team in this situation. He is the poster child for why taking the draft pick and moving on is the right choice. And Santander is still a bad fielder, just not quite Trumbo-tier. -
By Grt 2BA FL Gator · Posted
To this end I feel like we always had a pretty short leash with him. From the first three starts as an oriole to the yo-yo-ing this year. I would have preferred we just left him in the #5 starter role and see what happened. And maybe he’ll get that opportunity elsewhere like you said, whereas here it always seemed like his role was changing.
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