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I don't ever want to see TJ McFarland in an Orioles uniform again


Three Run Homer

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Going into yesterday, the Orioles were 7th in bullpen ERA, and 2nd in Win Probability Added from their bullpen. This isn't the 2012 bullpen, but it certainly hasn't been bad overall.

I forgot the Orioles plan for success. Have unexpected production from the bullpen to cover up everything else. This is DD's 3rd trade season on the job. Are we in or out?

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Going into yesterday, the Orioles were 7th in bullpen ERA, and 2nd in Win Probability Added from their bullpen. This isn't the 2012 bullpen, but it certainly hasn't been bad overall.

No, but Hunter and Matusz have been scary bad lately.

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Saying the bullpen has been good overall is like saying the team hits a lot of home runs overall. It's technically true, on the average, but only because three guys have done so well that they skew the numbers for the rest of the underperformers.

I just don't know if our bullpen is that much more skewed than most. Five current members have ERA's under 4.00 -- Britton, O'Day, Webb, McFarland and Matusz. Everyone else is over 5.00, but I'm not sure that's so unusual 40% of the way through a season. There are 27 AL relievers who have thrown at least 10 innings and have an ERA over 5.00.

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I just don't know if our bullpen is that much more skewed than most. Five current members have ERA's under 4.00 -- Britton, O'Day, Webb, McFarland and Matusz. Everyone else is over 5.00, but I'm not sure that's so unusual 40% of the way through a season. There are 27 AL relievers who have thrown at least 10 innings and have an ERA over 5.00.

It's not, really, it was more a reactionary thread after just watching the replay of last night's game. McFarland and Matusz are under 4.00 but we know ERA is already a nebulous measure of success, especially for relievers. The combined WAR for Matusz and McFarland so far this year is -0.1. They're not bad, but I definitely tend to white-knuckle it whenever they're in tight games.

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