vs. RAYS, 8/26

[scOtt]

Another bloop. Turned out well tho.

[terps19]

Hard nosed gritty player.

Oh is THAT what it is called?

[OFFNY]

Get the DP ball, Wei Yin.

Have to settle for a force-out.

Let's go, Chen. You can do it.

[scOtt]

[Guest]

Chen has nothing tonight.

[Terpsnation]

Too many hits, too many pitches.

[terps19]

Geez lots of hits tonight.

[weams]

[tntoriole]

Or the best, depending on how snakebitten your team is. We've won 52% of our challenges when Buck challenged a play. When other managers challenge against a call that went the Orioles' way, 56% of those are not overturned.

To put it another way: the Orioles have been one party (the challenger, or the challenged) in 50 separate occasions (including the one just now). Out of those 50 challenges, 27 of them resulted in a decision favoring the O's. Only 23 of them came back to bite us.

If we assume that a 50/50 challenge win percentage means that you may as well not have the replay system at all, and each challenge becomes a deciding factor in a game to determine whether they won or lost (this is not always the case, but it often is), this means we'd be something like 4 games ahead of the Yanks instead of 6 if the replay system didn't exist, assuming that we lost all the games where the original call was wrong and harmed us, and won all the games where the original call went in our favor.

These stats are a bit wonky and not very reliable for several objective reasons, so I won't belabor the point -- but basically, we're doing a little better than we would "ordinarily" have been expected to do given how umpires treat us.

However, the video replay system -- or at least the human beings watching the video -- seems to be very heavily bias towards the place where they work. The MFYs have won 80% of their challenges when Girardi challenges. A slight counterbalance is that, when someone challenges the MFYs, they get a 54% overturn rate, which means the Yankees get slightly screwed when other managers challenge a play that originally favored the Yankees. But Girardi's charm more than makes up for that when he challenges a call that favored a Yankees opponent.

I don't think the Girardi thing will be sustainable; there will likely be some hoopla about it in the press at some point, maybe during the offseason when we aren't worried about more pressing matters like the playoffs. The umps may have to figure out how to remove their New York biases.

Overall, it's much better for the game when calls are made correctly. There's nothing worse than having a blown call replace good athleticism and skill. We of all fanbases should know that, we who got screwed by the obvious fan interference of Jeffrey Maier.

Even when the umps overturn a call in a way that is bad for the Orioles, I still would rather the replay system exist than not exist. It needs to be improved, the time needs to be shortened, and biases removed, but it's a fundamentally sound idea that will make the game less about some old fart's bad vision and more about the players' abilities.

So it will be more about old fart seniority umpires in NY's biases than the umpire's calls on the field. Not to mention the inevitable delays and the already stupid pseudostrategy that has evolved...Does the manager challenge or not? Let me stand out here next to the umpire while my video guy tells me what to do. What is the video guy on my team signalling? Can I save my challenge by getting a bogus crew chief call? Is it the eighth inning, I have used up my challenge and now it doesnt matter if the call is right or not because I don't get a challenge. Hey, the technology is down again, can somebody wake up NY? I hate the challenges in football and I detest them in baseball.

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[terps19]

Chen has nothing tonight.

Cue the "average lefty" comments

[TouchemAll]

Cue the "average lefty" comments

:rofl: You took the words right out of my mouth.

[El Gordo]

Notice how the Rays go the opposite way When was the last time an O did that?

[TonySoprano]

Lot of empty green seats tonight. Attendance may be lower than yesterday.

[scOtt]

Cue the "average lefty" comments

He's crafty tho.

[Chavez Ravine]

This is a languid inning.