Rob Neyer: What Do You Believe About Baseball That You Can Not Prove

[Can_of_corn]

I believe Chris Davis will hit .215.

Fixed it.

[weams]

Fixed it.

If his OPS is .775, I'm ok.

[waroriole]

If his OPS is .775, I'm ok.

That's not very good for a 12M 1B. Gonna need .825 or better.

[weams]

That's not very good for a 12M 1B. Gonna need .825 or better.

There's changes in the ocean. There's changes in the sea.

[Babypowder]

That's not very good for a 12M 1B. Gonna need .825 or better.

The average MLB 1B had a .759 OPS in 2014.

[weams]

The average MLB 1B had a .759 OPS in 2014.

What was their salary? The average?

[mdbdotcom]

I believe a Bull Durham clip will appear in this thread at some point.

[Frobby]

The average MLB 1B had a .759 OPS in 2014.

Not for $12 mm, though.

[Babypowder]

What was their salary? The average?

I can't find it quickly for 2014, it was 6.5M in 2013.

[Can_of_corn]

Not for $12 mm, though.

You think he gets an ~20% raise?

[Babypowder]

Not for $12 mm, though.

True, but above average wouldn't hurt as bad at this year did at least.

[weams]

I can't find it quickly for 2014, it was 6.5M in 2013.

For First Base? Wow. That shocks me.

[Babypowder]

For First Base? Wow. That shocks me.

All the young pre-arb and arb eligible players even out the monsters at the top.

[weams]

All the young pre-arb and arb eligible players even out the monsters at the top.

Yeah I just did not figure that. Thanks

http://www.spotrac.com/rankings/mlb/total/1st-base/limit-50/

[Loophole]

I believe Nick Markakis is a good right fielder. I cannot really prove this with stats.

I believe Chris Davis would be a .250 hitter if he bunted down the 3rd base line every time they shift him.

I believe Nolan Reimold is better than Felix Pie.

I believe I could hit a curve ball easier than a major league fastball.

I doubt the rest of the league would stop shifting against him if he was guaranteed to never hit the ball in the air. He probably wouldn't earn his salary with a .500 OPS.

I believe Bud Norris could be the new Wade Davis if he were moved to the bullpen, and GMs should consider moving their decent #3ish guys there despite their salaries. Especially when you have a glut of SPs. And I think Brandon McCarthy will be the best-value signing this offseason. I'll harp on about these two things until he signs somewhere else. I'll be like Sports Guy and Kotchmann.