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2012 O's 1 run W-L Record in Jeopardy?

O's84

By O's84
in Orioles Talk

Were you aware of the 2012 O's 1 run W-L record was in Jeopardy.  

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  1. 1. Were you aware of the 2012 O's 1 run W-L record was in Jeopardy.


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O's84 Hangout Grand Counsel

O's84

Posted
Posted

The 2012 Orioles went 29-9 in 1 run games good for 76.3%

The 2016 Rangers stand at 27-8 in 1 run games good for 77.1%.

Quite a ways to go of course, and Texas will probably fall short but I thought it be interesting to bring up and see how many people were aware of it.

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O's84 Hangout Grand Counsel

O's84

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How could you not have known? All I hear from the experts is how lucky the Rangers are and how unsustainable this is.

Yeah that came to my mind, media bias. :)

Texas sits at 72-50 and their Pythagorean is 62-60. 10 game difference

The 2012 Orioles went 93-69 and their Pythagorean was 82-80 for an 11 game difference. Both teams are clearly (and that's an understatement) over performing their Pythagorean.

Anyway if you look at some of the numbers of some of their RP they gave innings to..... wow!

They seem to have got it more sorted now but man.

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howboutthoseos Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

howboutthoseos

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I think some of the difference in the way the two teams are perceived is that 2012 was the first time the Orioles were good in forever, so the Orioles being "lucky" was an easy (and somewhat understandable) position for people who didn't think they were for real.

Aside from a ridiculously injury-plagued 2015, the Rangers have been a first-division team since 2010. So even though they are outplaying their theoretical record, it doesn't really "feel" fluky or lucky.

Also, they seem to be getting to their one-run wins differently than the 2012 O's. They have pretty good starters, including Yu and Cole Hamels, and a dynamic offense. Their bullpen is good but not ridiculously better than the rest of their team, as was the case with the 2012 O's.

It will definitely be interesting to see if they can surpass the O's' record in one-run games. Doubt it, but who knows. It's a very random stat at the end of the day.

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