Does this team have a hot streak left in them?

[Frobby]

If you look at the Orioles this year, they've played under .500 ball for significant periods, punctuated by hot streaks. To wit:

7-0

9-12

7-0

5-10

7-1

4-7

7-0

6-10

5-0

9-13

In those five hot streaks, the O's were 33-1. The rest of the time, they've been 34-52.

I'm sure a lot of good teams follow similar patterns. In any event, it's been about three weeks since the team had a hot streak. I figure they are going to need one more to get a wild card berth, and two more to win the division. Do they have it in them?

[El Gordo]

It sure looks like they're due.

[TouchemAll]

Sure why not. :clap3:

[billw76]

I know they do. The lineup is too good to stay cold much longer.

[wildcard]

One hot streak to compete. Two hot streaks to win the division. Three hot streaks to dominate and win the World Series.

[Es4M11]

A sweep of the Astros would be a great start to another hot streak. It would soften the blow of dropping both to the Sox considerably.

[LookitsPuck]

They don't just need hot streaks. They need to break the mold of winning 5 in a row or 5 of 6....and then losing 4 or 5 in a row. It's been give or take since early July.

[Redskins Rick]

They don't just need hot streaks. They need to break the mold of winning 5 in a row or 5 of 6....and then losing 4 or 5 in a row. It's been give or take since early July.

They are home for a majority of their futures games and that should help.

[El Gordo]

They don't just need hot streaks. They need to break the mold of winning 5 in a row or 5 of 6....and then losing 4 or 5 in a row. It's been give or take since early July.

[weams]

Sure why not. :clap3:

Sure. Why not.

[LookitsPuck]

I appreciate your infatuation with me. I really do.

[srock]

I am confident this team will remain streaky.

I am hopeful those streaks will be winning in nature.

[LookitsPuck]

They are home for a majority of their futures games and that should help.

22 games out of 42. So, slight majority (52%).

You're right. It *should* help. Definitely need to play like we've done at home, because there are still 20 games on the road against: Nationals, Yankees, Tampa, Detroit, Boston and Toronto.

Those road games aren't really pushovers except *maybe* Tampa. Hopefully we can play above .500 at home (68% win percentage) and ~.500 on the road (currently at 44% win percentage).

[weams]

22 games out of 42. So, slight majority (52%).

You're right. It *should* help. Definitely need to play like we've done at home, because there are still 20 games on the road against: Nationals, Yankees, Tampa, Detroit, Boston and Toronto.

Those road games aren't really pushovers except *maybe* Tampa. Hopefully we can play above .500 at home (68% win percentage) and ~.500 on the road (currently at 44% win percentage).

So again, you feel that 6 out of 10 should do the trick?

[LookitsPuck]

So again, you feel that 6 out of 10 should do the trick?

If (and it's a big if) we go with our current record at home vs. away...we're currently at 67-53 with 42 games remaining.

A 68% win percentage with 22 games left at home gets us 15-7

A 44% win percentage with 20 games left on the road gets us 9-11

Total would be 24-18

That would net us a 91-71 record.

Last AL East winner records:

2015: 93-60

2014: 96-66

2013: 97-65

2012: 95-67

2011: 97-65

2010: 96-66

2009: 103-59

2008: 97-65

2007: 96-66

2006: 97-65

2005: 95-67

So, essentially 91 wins wouldn't do if we're going by historical averages. It'll get us a wild card.

Now, if the club goes .500 on the road? 92-70. Still not quite there.

They'll need to steal a few wins to get at least 93 wins.

Now, this year there are *3* teams battling for the AL East title. So maybe 95-96 wins isn't required this year like last year.