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bpilktree67

By bpilktree67
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Greg Pappas Hangout Grand Counsel

Greg Pappas

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Rojo13 said:

Do we really want to draft #1. It's scary to look at how bad many of the #1 picks in recent years are.

 

My goodness. Look at the last 6.

 

2013 Mark Appel# Houston Astros Right-handed pitcher Stanford University
2014 Brady Aiken° Houston Astros Left-handed pitcher Cathedral Catholic High School
(San Diego, California)
2015 Dansby Swanson Arizona Diamondbacks Shortstop Vanderbilt University
2016 Mickey Moniak Philadelphia Phillies Outfielder La Costa Canyon High School
(Carlsbad, California)
2017 Royce Lewis Minnesota Twins Shortstop JSerra Catholic High School
(San Juan Capistrano, California)
2018 Casey Mize Detroit Tigers Right-handed pitcher Auburn University

Yeah, #1 picks can be hit or miss, though (IIRC) statistically they hit more often and perform at a higher level than other slots. Swanson's just 24, Lewis is the #10 overall prospect in the game, and Mize is very highly-considered. Time will tell how they all work out. 

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, Rojo13 said:

Do we really want to draft #1. It's scary to look at how bad many of the #1 picks in recent years are.

 

My goodness. Look at the last 6.

 

2013 Mark Appel# Houston Astros Right-handed pitcher Stanford University
2014 Brady Aiken° Houston Astros Left-handed pitcher Cathedral Catholic High School
(San Diego, California)
2015 Dansby Swanson Arizona Diamondbacks Shortstop Vanderbilt University
2016 Mickey Moniak Philadelphia Phillies Outfielder La Costa Canyon High School
(Carlsbad, California)
2017 Royce Lewis Minnesota Twins Shortstop JSerra Catholic High School
(San Juan Capistrano, California)
2018 Casey Mize Detroit Tigers Right-handed pitcher Auburn University

Well, I’d say Royce Lewis is doing well so far — 19 and has hit well in both low A and high A.   Dansby Swanson made it to the majors the year after being drafted and is about a league average shortstop at 24.    Too soon to say much about Mize, but he’s holding his own in high A so far.   The others haven’t done much, I’ll grant you.   

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sevastras All-Star

sevastras

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Hallas said:

You're right of course.  At least to me, Bobby Witt Jr. is just a placeholder for the actual #1 overall.  The #1 overall has a lot of value, and if scouts think that some other prospect is more worthy of this draft slot than Witt Jr. I'll take it in stride and have faith that we took the BPA until proven otherwise. (yes I know that's a lot of faith to have given that it's the Orioles.)

I wouldn’t cry if the Os ended up with CJ Abrams.

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Bradysburns All-Star

Bradysburns

Posted
Posted
On 8/6/2018 at 11:34 PM, Greg Pappas said:

The draft standings updated after Monday's games-- 8/6/18. 

1. (Tie) Orioles 34-78

1. (Tie) Royals 34-78  

3. White Sox 41-71  /  7.0 GB

I don't like where this is headed. We have a touch of competitiveness already, and it's killing this team. Is there any way to get Ubaldo back into the rotation for the stretch run? We could really use him about now...

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eddie83 Hangout Grand Counsel

eddie83

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Greg Pappas said:

The draft standings updated after Wednesday's games-- 8/8/18. 

1. (Tie) Orioles 35-79

1. (Tie) Royals 35-79

Mods: Should this be moved to the Amateur Draft section?

The comeback ruined their defensive performance. 

I just hope if they finish ahead of KC they don’t drag it out. Just blow right past them.  

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Hallas Hangout Grand Counsel

Hallas

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Chavez Ravine said:

Has anyone figured out the optimal first round draft rank?  That is, what rank more likely results in happiness instead of getting listed on a click bait dubious top ten list? I assume the #1 pick is treacherous. But is the #2 safer? How about 3?

#1 still has the best outcome by a decent margin, followed closely by 2.

#3 apparently is fairly cursed.

https://www.fangraphs.com/tht/the-net-value-of-draft-picks/

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baltfan Hangout Grand Counsel

baltfan

Posted
Posted

From Keith Law Chat

I know you likely aren't sure who will be #1 overall next year, but is this an up year (Harper type), down year (Beckham type), or in between year for the #1 overall pick?
 
Keith Law
1:43
Very down year.

 

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FlipTheBird All-Star

FlipTheBird

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, baltfan said:

From Keith Law Chat

I know you likely aren't sure who will be #1 overall next year, but is this an up year (Harper type), down year (Beckham type), or in between year for the #1 overall pick?
 
Keith Law
1:43
Very down year.

 

Unfair standards. If a draft has to have a Harper or Strasburg type at the top to be a decent year, the problem is on the scale, not the players.

Law is also throwing crap at the wall same as any other evalauator, given that we're dealing with 17-21 year old kids.

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