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This doesn’t detract from your main point, but fielders don’t get up to full speed for the first 3 seconds. On average, Santander covers 32.2 feet in the first 3 seconds, Rodriguez 36.6, per Statcast jump data. So, the difference on a 4 second hang time ball is more like 7-8 feet rather than 10-12. -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
I think a team like the Orioles don't really have the luxury of extending a pretty good 30-year-old outfielder. Always take bb-ref comps with a grain of salt, but Santander's top comps through age 28 include: Jay Gibbons (less than 200 PAs after 30) Mark Trumbo (below replacement from 31-on) Carlos Quentin (below replacement from 31-on) Deron Johnson (1.6 WAR in 3198 PAs from 31-on) Willie Kirkland (productive career over at 28) Bo Jackson (yes, injuries, but done at 31) Nick Esasky (last good year at 29) Josh Reddick (OPS'd .711 with 2 WAR from 31-on) Also Paul O'Neill and Jay Buhner. So 8/10 would have been terrible choices to extend at 30. -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
The Statcast data does help highlight the silliness of errors. Or some of them. Rodriguez has a top sprint speed of over 29 feet/second, while Anthony Santander is at 26. On a 4-second hang time ball Rodriguez will be able to cover roughly 10-12 additional feet. So if a ball goes off his glove at the end he likely gets an error, while on the very same ball Santander gets credit for chasing a double or a triple up the gap. And then back to our discussion yesterday about ERA in another thread, whomever was on the mound is absolved from the Rodriguez error, while they take full blame for Santander allowing the extra-base hit. -
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By DrungoHazewood · Posted
Thank God. Who wants a manager who gets an itch on his is nose or some advice from a fortune cookie and uses that to make decisions instead of real, hard information? -
By DrungoHazewood · Posted
In his career Crawford hits righties better to the tune 70 points of OPS (737 to 667). That's the better metric to use than extremely noisy one-year splits. Crawford is not a reverse-platoon hitter, those essentially don't exist. He's a normal hitter with SSS data this year. -
They have a couple 30 something nonclosers in Cleavinger and Kelly.
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