Jump to content

Freddy Galvis, advanced metrics, and the eye test


Frobby

Recommended Posts

10 hours ago, Frobby said:

Freddy Galvis has started 43 games for us at SS this year.   He’s made only 3 errors, but for the most part, the defensive metrics hate him: -4 Rtot, -6 Rdrs, -4 OAA.   The outlier defensive metric is UZR, which has him at +1.1.

So what is the eye test telling you?  Mine says that while he’s probably lost a step in range, he’s otherwise very solid.   He generally makes the plays he should make and turns in his share of the difficult plays as well.     I’ve seen him make a number of throws from awkward angles and he’s turned some nifty DPs and made a few really good relay throws too.

Overall, to me Galvis has been a bargain and a solid contributor both offensively and defensively.

 

 

I agree with your observations. Also not sure I would compare him to Hardy at his best, and really a very different defender than JJ. Galvis has been a pleasant surprise. Dependable and productive. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, jabba72 said:

Belanger won GG's every year through his 29 to age 34 season so your memory is right. But doing what Belanger did in his 30's isnt normal and kind of defies the laws of physics. I would love to see some video of him someday. 

Belanger was great, but once you won 3-4 in a row you were almost guaranteed to keep winning them until you missed half the year with injury or it was a year or two after you got obviously worse.  I'm convinced Jim Kaat won 16 gold gloves because the voters didn't have a clue as to who else should win.  They voted for Kaat the year he fielded .826.

It actually looks like Belanger's GGs tracked pretty well to his performance based on retroactive runs saved numbers.  Except his first full year when he was a +27 shortstop, but the GG went to Jim Fregosi (+2) because he hit .290.  Also 1970 when they gave it to 36-year-old Luis Aparicio (+0) over a +9 Belanger.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, OrioleDog said:

I had a smile at somebody in a Fangraphs comment thread's observation the other day he's basically playing even with the Correa/Seager/Baez/Story batch so far this year.   Some fine $$$/WAR outcomes there.    

 

He's out-WARring Lindor too!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Posts

    • I don't know if this explains the Dansby Swanson contract accurately.  Yes, he plays a premium defensive position and does it fairly well, but he was just coming off back to back seasons with 25 and 27 homers.  There was a thought that his bat was finally coming around.  He was a 1st overall pick, teams will always gamble on a guy like that, especially if there's a whiff that he could reach his full potential.  
    • My choice would be Burnes My thought is why not him And Snell AND Roki ?   We can afford it 
    • Yes. Why is this even a pressing question let alone a question at all? He's been worth 6, 3.6, 1.9, and 2.3 fWAR over the last 4 years. He's 30, final year, plays solid to excellent defense, still has plenty of speed (averaged nearly 30 SB the last 4 years), great clubhouse guy, can actually hit righties well and he'll probably end up around $9-$10m. Think you play it back w/ Cowser and Mullins in LF/CF and spend your money on a replacement Santander (O'Neill?) and another OF. 
    • And this is before the Off Season has even begun. I'll wait and see. Elias isn't going to telegraph his moves.
    • Dansby Swanson got himself 9 figures with a career 95 OPS+ because, like Cedric, he plays a premium defensive position well. And Cedric would only get the hypothetical $15 million for 2026 being discussed if he earned it because that is how club options work. To get him to even consider giving the Orioles a club option though, you would have to make it worth his while, and a $1 million dollar buyout definitely does not do so.  
    • Either would be great. I do generally like shorter term contracts because of reducing the risk. But I think I like Burnes more. Snell is 2 years older, which is why I presume you went with 4 years for him, but he does have durability concerns. If we break down each pitcher in terms of times pitching more than, say, 100 IP, 130 IP, 150 IP, and 180 IP: Burnes also hasn't been a full time starter in the majors since 2021. So, presumably, there's less wear/tear.  Think my main takeaway here is that Burnes has been a full time starter in the majors for the last 4 years and he's went 160+ in all 4 and went 190+ in 3 of them. Snell has been entirely used as a starter and has only eclipsed the 160 IP mark 3 out of 9 of his seasons and only once in the last 4 years did he go more than 130 IP.   I'd gladly take either, though.
    • I know many O's fans love Cedric.  And that is fine.   But Cedric has put up a 710 to 721 OPS for the last 3 years.    And while his defense is great not too many players with that OPS gets a 15m salary or a 5m buyout. If you step back and realize that Cedric as good as he is on defense is a platoon player with a 710 to 721 OPS he is likely to consider a club option at 11M for 2026 with a 1M buyout IMO. If you think differently please show the players with a 15m salary and that OPS.   That would be interesting.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...