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The AJ Burnett Watch


Sanfran327

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SI is now reported it's down to two teams, the Yankees and Braves, for AJ. Both offers are close to 5yr./$80mil.

Agent Darek Braunecker confirmed that there are just the two teams left in the A.J. Burnett chase.

"We're in decisionmaking mode. It's down to (the Yankees) and Braves," Braunecker said. "It's a matter of what's in his heart." It's possible we'll have his answer by the end of the day."

http://www.fannation.com/si_blogs/hot_stove/posts/31883

His wife & the Orioles:D

Wouldn't it be great if we swooped in & stole him at the 12th Hour???? Id give him 5/75 & i'd bet that would do it!

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True, but unfortunately the Orioles don't seem willing to give Sheets the 3rd year. Sheets appears to be the bargain free agent of the offseason and I'm not sure we're even involved.

The last great pitcher that this was said about was Jason Schmidt. That hasn't worked out too well. That being said, I say take a chance on Sheets.

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The last great pitcher that this was said about was Jason Schmidt. That hasn't worked out too well. That being said, I say take a chance on Sheets.

I'm basing this off memory so please correct me if I'm wrong but wasn't Schmidt older with a different injury history?

Also, it doesn't appear Sheets will receive close to the contract that Schmidt got from Los Angeles.

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"...Talking to a Yankee recently, A.J. Burnett informed the player they were going to be teammates.

"He wants to come to New York - those words came out of his mouth," the player told The Post last night. "He really wants to play here..."

http://www.nypost.com/seven/12122008/sports/yankees/yank__a_j__is_burn_ing_for_bombers_143873.htm

Riiiight, the 5 years and 80 Million had nothing to do with it...please. This is insane money for a slightly above-average injury riddled arm that's aging. I am sure glad we didn't jump into this as it may have gone down as the worst signing in history.

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    • Agreed, with the caveat that I'm not convinced that (for example) the 1927 Negro Leagues were a completely different quality of play compared to the 1927 AL/NL. My guess is that if the MLB quality was 1.00 and the International League was .90, then the Negro Leagues of that year were .97 or something.
    • They have to DFA Vieria today right? You can't carry this guy in a 30 game stretch that has started off with two short starts.
    • I think pitcher's platoon splits can be larger, and not just due to random variation. Because pitchers can employ strategies that emphasize the platoon split, like throwing sidearm sweepers/sliders that are vastly more effective against same-sided hitters. Hitters really don't have the option of using some kind of strategy that is wildly more effective against one type of pitcher, or one hand of pitcher.
    • Considering our shallow starting pitching pool, should we put on a full court press to extend Corbin Burnes?
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    • I think we're saying the same thing, or at least we rhyme. If they're going to include one league that has completely different quality of play, why not all leagues? Why stop at the Negro Leagues?
    • Baseball is different from most other team sports in a number of key aspects: The number of trials. 162 games is a lot of games to have random variation smooth out. If you pick random 16-game stretches you'll have NFL-like outliers, such as teams going 15-1 or 1-15. Nobody goes 150-12. Pitchers are very limited in how much they can pitch. A 200-inning starter can only have so much impact. Hitters cannot get more than ~1/8th of a team's PAs. This and the prior point means that there's no way around having your 3rd- and 5th and even 14th-best players getting almost as much playing time as #1. So you end up with the most dominant teams usually not even winning 2/3rds of their games, wherein other sports you can have teams win 80% or more. Which makes baseball look more random. Contributing to this is the expanded playoffs, where a .600 vs .575 matchup is more-or-less a coin flip. I doubt most other sports have a situation where the obviously best team in the league has a 25%-ish shot of the Championship (in other words, a 75% chance of going home disappointed) on day one of the playoffs. In most soccer leagues the regular season champ is The Champ, so there's a 0% chance of that. The best team always takes a big trophy home.
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