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Saturday, May 21: A new era in Orioles history begins


SteveA

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    • I need to see more than two and a half weeks of good performance to declare that the "old Mullins" is back.  However, his swing does look much more direct to the ball right now and he's managed to level it out.  .386/.407/.709 in 17 games dating back to June 9, raising his OPS from .522 to .664 in that stretch.   Still a ways to go to get over the 100 OPS+ mark. Mullins, Hays and Urias all have dug themselves out of very large holes.
    • This does make some sense. I think it comes down to two questions. First, does Kjerstad get traded/sent down or is he here to stay? If he’s traded/sent down, they have room for another OF (let’s say a RHH CF) and could theoretically keep Hays in LF and that acquisition in CF against LHP’s.  Second question, if Kjerstad stays does Elias feel like Cowser in LF and a RHH CF is a better alignment than just going Hays in LF and Cowser in CF (both offensively and defensively). It depends on the acquisition, but unless it’s Luis Robert I’m not sure any of the mentioned names (Bader, Pillar) really move the needle too much. Cowser’s defense has been good and his overall line against LHP’s has been above average even though he’s going to K a lot against them. 
    • By chance I decided to check career WAR leaders in baseball history.   Keep in mind this is WAR calculation by Baseball Reference. I was a little surprised to see many of Palmers contemporaries and, even more so, more recent pitchers comfortably ahead of him.  Palmer wasn’t a strikeout pitcher.  I guess that’s why? https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_pitch_career.shtml   Palmer is ranked 38th with 67.6 Mussina is 23 with 82.8 Bert Blyleven is 12 with 96.1 Tom Seaver is 7th with 106 Ferguson Jenkins, Gaylord Perry, Steve Carlton, Nolan Ryan easily ahead of him.    
    • OPS over 1.000 now and an even 6.0 WAR. Just an incredible half season. 
    • It’s real. the obvious example is when MIL traded Hader in season while they were still contending and they nosedived. The GM has since said it affected the team/clubhouse and he regretted it. 
    • While I doubt this is true, maybe he is working in RF a lot more than we think and the Os will be comfortable debuting him there in the majors. I can’t imagine that’s true though. Would have to think they get him sometime in a live game situation.
    • Personally, I think Hays is more than capable of playing some CF here and there. He's not fast, but he's a good outfielder in all of the other ways, including having a great arm. The Orioles apparently disagree, which is a bit odd to me. I feel like he and Cowser are about equal in CF, albeit getting there in different ways.  I agree with others that it's Urias that is the larger problem. We actually need a player with Hays' profile. Urias not so much. Mayo plays 3B, Westy at 2B, then in the late innings you move Westy to 3B, bring in Mateo at 2B for defense. 
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