Unswept

[Filmstudy]

I recall seeing a brief graphic regarding this during an O's broadcast this season, but...

It has now been well over a season since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15 2022 at the Tigers, which also happens to be the series immediately preceding Adley Rutschman's callup.  SInce that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 16

3 games: 44

2 games: 5

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be .0002975279 (less than 3 in 10,000).

I'd like to have a way to compare that against historic streaks, but I don't know how to do it with Stathead.  Can anyone think of a method?

[Bahama O's Fan]

Oh, great. Now we will get swept by Tampa and I'm going to both of those games.

[wildcard]

The title sounds like a romance novel.

[Yossarian]

28 minutes ago, wildcard said:

The title sounds like a romance novel.

It sounds like the current state of my kitchen floor. 

[Filmstudy]

On 6/19/2023 at 1:27 PM, Filmstudy said:

I recall seeing a brief graphic regarding this during an O's broadcast this season, but...

It has now been well over a season since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15 2022 at the Tigers, which also happens to be the series immediately preceding Adley Rutschman's callup.  SInce that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 16

3 games: 44

2 games: 5

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be .0002975279 (less than 3 in 10,000).

I'd like to have a way to compare that against historic streaks, but I don't know how to do it with Stathead.  Can anyone think of a method?

Tonight's win will extend the unswept streak to 200 games after tomorrow.  The longest streak I found was the Braves, who went 221 consecutive games between sweeps in 2003-05.  Also I have no doubt with longer series in the early part of the 20th century there were a longer streak or 2.

Yeah, they play some very good teams the rest of the month and the streak won't last forever, but they also have a 9-game homestand and no scheduled 2-game series until late September.

[survivedc]

Somewhat related, I saw on the Rays broadcast that prior to tonight they were 12-0 in home series openers. Fun little record to mess up.

[Filmstudy]

On 6/19/2023 at 2:27 PM, Filmstudy said:

I recall seeing a brief graphic regarding this during an O's broadcast this season, but...

It has now been well over a season since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15 2022 at the Tigers, which also happens to be the series immediately preceding Adley Rutschman's callup.  SInce that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 16

3 games: 44

2 games: 5

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be .0002975279 (less than 3 in 10,000).

I'd like to have a way to compare that against historic streaks, but I don't know how to do it with Stathead.  Can anyone think of a method?

The Orioles have continued to extend their unswept streak through the Twins series including series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 13 (16 above was incorrect, but the probability calculation was based on the correct 12 at the time)

3 games: 48

2 games: 6

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be .000123 (approximately 1 in 10,000).

At the end of the Twins series the Orioles will have played 216 consecutive games since they were last swept.  From the work of u/dontich, the record since 1950 is 234 games by the 2004-05 Braves.  The O's next 6 series are 3,3,4,3,3,4 games vs the Marlins, Dodgers, at Rays, at Phillies, Yankees, at Blue Jays respectively.  .So, if the Orioles can get through the 4-game series with the Jays without getting swept, they'll have the "modern" record.

[Filmstudy]

Bringing the Unswept information current through the win over the Phillies on 7/25/23:

It has now been well over a season since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15/2022 at the Tigers.  Since that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 14

3 games: 52 (includes the Phillies series played as scheduled)

2 games: 6

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Assuming each of the next 2 games are played as scheduled, the Orioles will reach 229 games without being swept (they are 227 right now, even if the next 2 games are postponed).

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be .0000673901 (approximately 1 in 14,839).

Per u/Dontich on r/orioles, the Orioles now hold the all-time AL record previously held by the Blue Jays which, based on differences in definition could be 199, 200, 225, or 226 games.  Several NL teams have had longer streaks, but the longest postwar streak is either 232 or 234 by the 2003-05 Braves.  The Orioles will need 1 win vs the Yankees and 1 win vs the Blue Jays to move past the Braves.

[EddeeEddee]

Based on the mlb.com write-up below, from today's win the O's now have the 4th longest streak for being unswept in a multigame series -- at 76 series.  In front of them are the 1942-44 Cardinals (125), the 1903-05 Giants (106) and the 1922-24 Yankees (83).

https://www.mlb.com/news/ryan-mountcastle-homers-in-orioles-win-over-astros

[sportsfan8703]

The 42-44’ Cards dominated a watered down league because of WWII. Completely changes my opinion on Musial. I had always thought he was underrated. Now it’s the opposite. 

We’re in good company with a few of the most dominant teams of all time. 

[clapdiddy]

7 minutes ago, sportsfan8703 said:

The 42-44’ Cards dominated a watered down league because of WWII. Completely changes my opinion on Musial. I had always thought he was underrated. Now it’s the opposite. 

We’re in good company with a few of the most dominant teams of all time. 

So, just because he played in 1942-44 means he is overrated?   Did you look at his numbers after WWII?   He also missed 1945 due to military service.

[Baltimorecuse]

If Urias hadn't knocked down that liner this would likely be over.  That was a close run thing.  

[Filmstudy]

Bringing the Unswept information current through the win over the A's on 8/19/23:

It has now been 79 series since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15/2022 at the Tigers.  Since that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 15

3 games: 57 (includes the A's series played as scheduled)

2 games: 6

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Assuming each of the next 2 games are played as scheduled, the Orioles will reach 248 games without being swept.

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be approximately 1 in 30,859.

[Filmstudy]

Bringing the Unswept information current through the win over the White Sox on 8/29/23:

It has now been 82 series since the Orioles have been swept in a series of 2+ games.  The last time it occurred was 5/13-15/2022 at the Tigers.  Since that time, they have played series of:

5 games: 1

4 games: 15

3 games: 60 (includes the White Sox series played as scheduled)

2 games: 6

1 game: 3 times (lost 2 of 3 of those single games)

Assuming each of the next 2 games are played as scheduled, the Orioles will reach 260 games without being swept.

Considering only the series of 2+ games, if the games were each coin flips, the chance to avoid a series sweep over that time would be approximately 1 in 46,064.

Edited August 29, 2023 by Filmstudy

[Flash- bd]

What's the record for games without being swept?