This team is so resilient

[jerios55]

Yeah, the skew in how many are in each bucket make a big difference in how those numbers play out.  Interesting, thanks for the break downs.

[ChosenOne21]

1 hour ago, SteveA said:

As others have pointed out, it's mathematically possible because the Braves and Orioles have a vast difference in # of games scored first.   Best record is based on %, but when the denominators are different, we could have a better % in both categories and yet a worse % overall.

Here's a totally made up example of how that could happen, with easy fractions so the concept shines through:

Team A has played 100 games.   They have scored first in 30 games and won 27 of those (90.0%).
Team B has played 100 games.   They have scored first in 70 games and won in 61 of those (85.7%).
    So team A is better when scoring first:  90.0 > 85.7

Team A has scored second in 70 games and won 35 of them (50.0%).
Team B has scored second in 30 games and won 14 of them (46.7%).
   So team A is better than team B when scoring second:  50.0 > 46.7

But overall:
Team A has won 27 + 35 = 62 of 100 games (62.0%).
Team B has won 61 + 14 = 75 of 100 games (75.0%).
    Team B has an overall better record:   75.0 > 62.0.
 

This is called Simpson's Paradox for those interested.

[Natty]

Absolutely its been a roller coaster ride, at least for me.

Good pitching will occasionally shut us down. Our best pitchers will occasionally get shelled.

But overall, we keep winning.  I did not expect this, and I am loving it. Go O's

[AdamK]

1 hour ago, Natty said:

Absolutely its been a roller coaster ride, at least for me.

Good pitching will occasionally shut us down. Our best pitchers will occasionally get shelled.

But overall, we keep winning.  I did not expect this, and I am loving it. Go O's

But would you say we jeep winning?

[AdamK]

Thank you, Os, the Os faithful, and Orioles Hangout, for bringing this community together.

[Natty]

1 hour ago, AdamK said:

But would you say we jeep winning?

We like to quote Orioles Leo Gomez . 

"At least we got the wing".

[BohKnowsBmore]

5 hours ago, BohKnowsBmore said:

 

A good old fashioned Simpson's paradox

 

3 hours ago, ChosenOne21 said:

This is called Simpson's Paradox for those interested.

Indeed it is  

 

Funny enough, the Wikipedia entry on Simpson's Paradox uses a baseball example to illustrate (specifically batting averages)

Edited August 14, 2023 by BohKnowsBmore