Jump to content

2024 Ongoing Lineup Thread


spleen1015

Recommended Posts

There are 4 players in that lineup that were also in the OD lineup.  But in spite of that, the scary part about the offense tank job we've seen, is that the lineup really isn't THAT different than you might have guessed it might look right now, back on opening day.   Obviously Rivera instead of Westburg is a big difference, but otherwise, there really aren't players in that lineup that you wouldn't have expected.  O'hearn is getting more play than he would have, but we are seeing who we wanted to see - Holliday is up and playing, Kjerstad and Cowser in the OF.  Mayo not in this lineup but on the roster, and he's been flat out awful in limited time, on both sides of the ball.

The 5 players 'missing' from the OD lineup - Mountcastle, Urias, Mateo, Hays, and Westburg.  Other than Westburg, many on this board WANTED all those players gone at one point or another.   In fact many were in favor of straight up DFA's for Urias, Mateo, even Hays at some point.  So based on that, this should be a pretty exciting lineup.  But clearly, it is NOT.  You can't tell me Westburg missing makes THAT much difference.

All of which is to say, the offense has been bad enough lately, that its making me worry about NEXT year.  Are these guys who we thought they were?  Jury of course still out on the young guys - plenty of room for improvement there.  But how likely is there to be a hangover effect from the end of this year into the beginning of next?  We can't answer that because we don't even know who all's going to be here, but its been a bad enough stretch that it has me thinking about longer term repercussions at this point, even beyond the potential of missing the playoffs entirely, or being swept right out if we do make it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Like the lineup.

Yeah that's what I'm saying in my prior post.  On paper at the start of the year, we'd all have been pretty excited about that lineup other than the Westburg thing.  Yet here we are, basically feeling hopeless that we can beat a mediocre SF team.  Just a bizarre finish to the season, even factoring in the injuries.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Also, a REAL cleanup hitter should be on the offseason shopping list.  Yesterday it was Kjerstad - potential for him in that spot but he's not ready for it.  Today its Cowser - I can't see him ever being a very good fit for that spot.  We don't have that guy unless Mayo really progresses, especially assuming that Santander leaves.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Fiver6565 said:

There are 4 players in that lineup that were also in the OD lineup.  But in spite of that, the scary part about the offense tank job we've seen, is that the lineup really isn't THAT different than you might have guessed it might look right now, back on opening day.   Obviously Rivera instead of Westburg is a big difference, but otherwise, there really aren't players in that lineup that you wouldn't have expected.  O'hearn is getting more play than he would have, but we are seeing who we wanted to see - Holliday is up and playing, Kjerstad and Cowser in the OF.  Mayo not in this lineup but on the roster, and he's been flat out awful in limited time, on both sides of the ball.

The 5 players 'missing' from the OD lineup - Mountcastle, Urias, Mateo, Hays, and Westburg.  Other than Westburg, many on this board WANTED all those players gone at one point or another.   In fact many were in favor of straight up DFA's for Urias, Mateo, even Hays at some point.  So based on that, this should be a pretty exciting lineup.  But clearly, it is NOT.  You can't tell me Westburg missing makes THAT much difference.

All of which is to say, the offense has been bad enough lately, that its making me worry about NEXT year.  Are these guys who we thought they were?  Jury of course still out on the young guys - plenty of room for improvement there.  But how likely is there to be a hangover effect from the end of this year into the beginning of next?  We can't answer that because we don't even know who all's going to be here, but its been a bad enough stretch that it has me thinking about longer term repercussions at this point, even beyond the potential of missing the playoffs entirely, or being swept right out if we do make it.

You've got it half right.  

Missing Westburg matters when you plug in Holliday or Mayo who's negative WAR as the replacement for Westburg.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Fiver6565 said:

Also, a REAL cleanup hitter should be on the offseason shopping list.  Yesterday it was Kjerstad - potential for him in that spot but he's not ready for it.  Today its Cowser - I can't see him ever being a very good fit for that spot.  We don't have that guy unless Mayo really progresses, especially assuming that Santander leaves.

Mayo definitely is a possibility…as is Basallo. 
 

Im not worried about this yet.  I do think a year or 2 from now this could be on the shopping list.

But I won’t be upset if we sign Soto. 😁

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Fiver6565 said:

Also, a REAL cleanup hitter should be on the offseason shopping list.  Yesterday it was Kjerstad - potential for him in that spot but he's not ready for it.  Today its Cowser - I can't see him ever being a very good fit for that spot.  We don't have that guy unless Mayo really progresses, especially assuming that Santander leaves.

Santander is to hot and cold to be a legit middle of the order hitter for a WS quality team.  If he was a #5 or #6 hitter in the lineup then you have something.  You need Adley to get back to Adley and you need one more complete hitter which to me means a .350 OBP and a 25+ HR guy.  That would take the pressure off everyone and make the lineup much deeper.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Moose Milligan said:

You've got it half right.  

Missing Westburg matters when you plug in Holliday or Mayo who's negative WAR as the replacement for Westburg.  

Not suggesting he doesn't matter at all.  Just saying his presence (or lack thereof) alone can't explain the extremity of the drop off.  The real issue is that Holliday has been putrid, Mayo looks even worse somehow, Cowser better than that but not good lately, Rutsch of course has been awful.  That's the big one for next year - what version of Adley are we going to get?  He's been bad enough, for long enough, to make that a more fair question than I would have thought.

In my head we're struggling because of players like Jimenez, Soto, Rivera, Slater in the lineup regularly.  But then I see lineups like today, and that really isn't the case nearly as often as I'm thinking.  Its worrisome.  We've basically cast off (due to injury/trade) the regular Hangout castoff list - Hays, Urias, Mateo, even Mountcastle to some degree - and for the most part replaced them w/ the players we wanted to replace them - Cowser, Mayo, Holliday - and things have gotten much much worse.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • No we do not. But I refuse to believe it will be anything like JA had on him. 
    • I think we're actually making the same point here.  The players we thought would be in the lineup, for the most part, ARE in the lineup.  Westburg is the only exception.  the problem isn't Westburg is missing - its that the rest of these guys suck.  Like, all of them.  At least right now.
    • Yeah, there were some not so good signs even early on, although I have to think they weren't unique to just the Orioles.  We were extremely fortunate to win 2 of 3 in April against KC, as we needed two walk-offs.  Milwaukee came in and just destroyed our pitching (think they averaged 14 hits a game). Oakland took the series with Kimbrel giving up 2 ninth inning homers.  Our regular season sweep less streak came to an end with a lifeless series in St. Louis.  Again, I think all teams go through lackluster series like that.  But that was all within the 49-25 start so it was kind of forgotten. I remember Oakland hung 19 on us in early July.  The Cubs outscored us 21-2 in our own stadium and Volpe and Verdugo were the only reason we didn't go into the break 0-6. We struggled to score in Miami and nearly got swept. The Padres pushed us around quite a bit at home.  And as I noted elsewhere, we have only come back to win two times since Memorial Day weekend when trailing after 6 innings. Even with a healthy offense, we have been pretty much cooked if we weren't tied or ahead after 6.
    • It's not the fact that Westburg is out of the lineup...it's who he's been replaced with.  If you replaced Westburg with a player of half his production, you'd still have more than what Holliday has given you.  And what Mayo has given you. You just listed them off: Cowser - can be a good hitter but is a K machine.  He's got a .678 OPS in September.   Mayo - automatic out. Holliday - automatic out.   Yeah, we wanted to replace guys with Holliday and Mayo because they were top prospects.  No one had any clue that these guys would have been as bad as they've been. Also, in today's lineup, you're overlooking how bad Tony and O'Hearn have been recently, too.  O'Hearn's OPS for September is .471.  .471!!! So when I look at today's lineup, I look at who the automatic outs are.  I look at the guys who are just flat out not giving any signs of life at all.   1.  O'Hearn.  Pains me to say it cause I like him, but he should be waking up every morning thankful for the existence of Holliday and everyone obsessing over how bad he's been.  O'Hearn is easily worth 3-4 outs a game. 2.  Holliday.  I still have hopes for the kid but good lord, his OPS this month is .370.  Holliday is easily worth 3-4 outs a game. 3.  Santander.  Last 28 days, his OPS is .739.  Over the last 14 days it's .586.  Over the last 7 days it's .250.  That's nto the trend you want to see from that guy.  I feel like I'm being generous but I think he's worth 2-3 outs a game right now. 4.  Cowser.  Probably the most appetizing of these 4, his OPS for September is .678 plus he brings a good glove to the field and that can't really be overlooked.  I think he's worth 2-3 outs a game, easily. So there you have it.  Conservatively, that's 10 outs in the game....just flat out zeros in the lineup.  You can make a case that these guys will produce 14 outs in the game today and I don't think anyone would say that's out of line.    
    • Yeah it looks like it goes to the entire league not just opposite division.  We will hold the tie breaker over either the Twins or Tigers with 2 wins though if we take two out of three vs the Tigers that will make us 3-3 vs them or a win vs the Twins or the Yankees.  
    • Yes I know.  I think had we not made any trades, we'd be under 84 wins right now.  Eflin has been huge.  Slater has had some big games.  Dominguez has contributed too.  
    • Maybe last year we were really two years away and we really just overachieved because of team chemistry and Bautista.  I don't see how taking Santa out of this lineup can be a good thing.  What are we going to do with 1B/DH next year.  Mounty and O'Hearn really can't be counted on for a team trying to win.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...