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The 2024 Trade Deadline


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9 minutes ago, e16bball said:

Fair take, although this year’s peripheral based metrics are the outlier in his profile. 

2024 ERA, 2023 ERA, 2023 peripherals, 2022 ERA, 2022 peripherals all pretty much live in the upper 3s, low 4s neighborhood. 

Perhaps something has clicked for him at 33 — it certainly does happen — and it’s just not showing up in the results. But I think it’s just as possible that we’re talking about a 30-inning span where he’s had a few more outings than usual with the good splitter. 

Still, the numbers you cite underline why it’s a worthy bet for NYY. Wish they’d gone elsewhere (just not to MIA).

Prior to 2023, he was indeed not good. However, in 2023 he was dominating until both he and Julian Merryweather got absolutely pitched into the ground the second half of the season. Through July 1st, in 2023,  he had a 2.41 ERA, 2.72 FIP, 2.54 xFIP

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