Jump to content

Trevor Rogers 2024


Just Regular

Recommended Posts

7 minutes ago, ScGO's said:

Was Norby & Stowers not enough to get Kikuchi? That's my issue with the trade: Norby & Stowers only gets you Rogers? That package doesn't get us a better arm at the deadline?

 

Rogers is more valuable than Kikuchi due to the two years of control. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, MCO'sFan said:

There is no way to know if Elias could have done better. He did say the price of pitching went up drastically between the Eflin and Rogers trades. It may turn out to be a bad trade but we will never know what the other options were. 

This is true. In past regimes there would occasionally be leaks come out about such things but ME seems to have plugged them. 

Edited by jmi1960
Spelling
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, ScGO's said:

Was Norby & Stowers not enough to get Kikuchi? That's my issue with the trade: Norby & Stowers only gets you Rogers? That package doesn't get us a better arm at the deadline?

 

Most people thought the Astros way overpaid for Kikuchi, so I don’t think so.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gregory Soto looked terrible right after the trade.  The O's coaching staff helped him make some adjustments and now he is putting up scoreless outings.

I think we have to give the O's coaching staff time to work with Rogers.  We will not know what he can be with the O's until some time next season IMO.

Glad to hear Norby is doing well.  The best kind of trades are the ones that work for both teams.   That way they will be glad to work together in the future on other trades.

Edited by wildcard
  • Upvote 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, ScGO's said:

Was Norby & Stowers not enough to get Kikuchi? That's my issue with the trade: Norby & Stowers only gets you Rogers? That package doesn't get us a better arm at the deadline?

 

It's tough enough to see what Norby (so far ) is doing in Miami it would be even harder seeing that done with Toronto 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Baseball fandom said:

Disgraceful 

So you're just completely discounting the possibility that the O's are working on specific things with him and told him to ignore results that first start? I'm not sure why you would knowing what we know about the Orioles development/pitching lab. 

1st start in Norfolk: 4.1 IP, 10 ER
2nd start in Norfolk: 6 IP, 2 ER

 

Edited by interloper
  • Upvote 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, interloper said:

So you're just completely discounting the possibility that the O's are working on specific things with him and told him to ignore results that first start? I'm not sure why you would knowing what we know about the Orioles development/pitching lab. 

1st start in Norfolk: 4.1 IP, 10 ER
2nd start in Norfolk: 6 IP, 2 ER

 

I hope he succeed good grief that's one decent minor league start. Also you cannot tell me the Orioles acquired him with the thought he wasn't going to be of help to this year's team also besides the next 2. Not buying that. 

Edited by Baseball fandom
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Baseball fandom said:

Not if he doesn't get his act together he's not. Who wants a really bad pitcher for 2 more years 

Obviously no one wants that. But Kikuchi averages about 1 WAR and was three months from free agency. Yes, it is possible that he completely washes out but he has a track record of being a decent pitcher with 3.5 WAR upside and 1.3 WAR just prior to the trade. I like the odds of Rogers next two years outperforming 3 months of Kikuchi, although Kikuchi is off to a nice start for HOU.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:

Obviously no one wants that. But Kikuchi averages about 1 WAR and was three months from free agency. Yes, it is possible that he completely washes out but he has a track record of being a decent pitcher with 3.5 WAR upside and 1.3 WAR just prior to the trade. I like the odds of Rogers next two years outperforming 3 months of Kikuchi, although Kikuchi is off to a nice start for HOU.

I have tons of respect for Houston, but if this Kikuchi guy is the missing starter for this team, (ala JM and Evoldi last year for Texas), I will bow down to them.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, interloper said:

So you're just completely discounting the possibility that the O's are working on specific things with him and told him to ignore results that first start? I'm not sure why you would knowing what we know about the Orioles development/pitching lab. 

1st start in Norfolk: 4.1 IP, 10 ER
2nd start in Norfolk: 6 IP, 2 ER

 

You are talking to a brick wall

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/25/2024 at 10:12 PM, EddeeEddee said:

The point is Rogers was pretty good in June and July.  That's why Elias pulled the trigger.  But it didn't work out, and we lost Norby who could have been a good a piece in a better trade and helping us now.  It was an iffy gamble that didn't work out -- at least not for this season. 

 

I’m reminded a little bit of the Bud Norris trade.  He was quite mediocre for us the year we acquired him at the deadline (86 ERA*).   Then the next year he was a big contributor to our AL East championship team (108 ERA+).   He totally screwed the pooch his third year (58 ERA+) and we released him before the season was over.   So, he wasn’t completely worthless over his three year tenure but he certainly didn’t help us two years out of three.  I hope we’ll get more out of Rogers, but we’ll see.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Baseball fandom said:

I hope he succeed good grief that's one decent minor league start. Also you cannot tell me the Orioles acquired him with the thought he wasn't going to be of help to this year's team also besides the next 2. Not buying that. 

Means gave up 7 runs in 1 inning in his first AAA start this year and had another start where he gave up 5 runs in less than an inning. Kremer gave up 11 ER in 8.2 IP in his rehab stint this summer and has been fine since getting back to the O's.

So yeah it's just one decent minor league start for Rogers, but it's also just one blowup minor league start which we shouldn't overreact to. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • ZiPS being an inhuman thing incapable of recency bias is not much out on Holliday.    It only dings his 2025-2029 forecast WAR by about 3% today relative to what it was forecasting this spring. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/reassessing-the-future-for-this-seasons-disappointing-rookies/ Jackson Holliday’s numbers didn’t take a big hit for a few reasons. First, and most importantly, despite a really lousy debut in the majors, he played well enough in the minors — plus he’s so young and his résumé is so strong — that his small-sample struggles barely register. By reverse-o-fying Holliday’s major league woes into an untranslated minor league line and including it in his overall Triple-A production, ZiPS estimates that he would’ve had a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A this season, down from his actual mark of 142. A 20-year-old shortstop with a 118 wRC+ in Triple-A would still top everybody’s prospect list.
    • Kjerstad should also get some reps in at first so he can be an option there as well, although now is probably not the time, best for him to DH for the rest of the season. He had 8 starts at first at AAA this season and 37 starts there between AA and AAA in 2023.
    • In Grich’s case, I think his OBP skills weren’t appreciated at the time.  He was a .266 lifetime hitter in an era when that was maybe 10 points above average, but his .371 OBP was more like 45-50 points above average.  But OBP just wasn’t very valued at the time.  
    • We don’t have a current combo that is ideal. You have to go with the best possible grouping you have.
    • Yep, we're in agreement on the 70 rWAR threshold.  A championship would help Manny's cause, though I'm not sure if that's in the cards for him in the near future.  He needs a big moment on a big stage, too....as silly as that sounds, I do believe it matters in the eyes of some voters. Not to derail, but Whitaker is a guy that belongs in the HoF, too.  I'm not sure why Grich never got serious consideration.
    • I’ve always felt that 70 rWAR was the line between having to justify why someone shouldn’t be in the HOF versus justifying why they should.  In other words, if you’re over 70, there needs to be a reason for you NOT to be in.  There are 70 position players over 70 WAR, and the only ones not in are Bonds, Pujols (not yet eligible), Trout (not yet eligible), Rose, Bill Dahlen, Lou Whitaker, Raffy Palmeiro, Bobby Grich, and Carlos Beltran.  Really, only Dahlen, Whitaker and Grich have no obvious reason why they’re not in.  And I wouldn’t bet against Beltran getting in eventually.  He’s gotten  46% and 57% of the ballots his first two tries.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...