Orioles vs Tigers/KC (Wild Card series)

[DirtyBird]

1 hour ago, Warehouse said:

He doesn’t, unless Hyde makes an unforced error.  Slater and Mullins give us a better chance.

What chance does Mullins give us?

[Warehouse]

1 hour ago, DirtyBird said:

What chance does Mullins give us?

Since Aug 1 he has a .327 xwOBA vs LHP vs. .218 xwOBA for Cowser.  He generally makes more contact and isn’t as hopeless against changeups.  I expect Cowser to basically be an automatic out vs. Skubal. I don’t expect Mullins to do well either, but I think he gives us a better chance at the plate than Cowser.

[Warehouse]

Looking more closely at the Tigers’ hitting splits, I think we should definitely carry 5 LHP. They are a good lineup against RHP and a bad lineup against LHP. Greene and Carpenter are monsters against RHP.  Further, park effects will depress power for right-handed hitters (only half of Matt Vierling’s 16 home runs would be over the wall at Camden Yards).

Tigers active roster handedness splits since August 1

	OPS	xOPS
vs RHP	.749	.738
vs LHP	.676	.626
Δ	.73	.112