Jump to content

Walltimore


Sanity Check

Recommended Posts

20 minutes ago, deward said:

We didn't have good pitching because we didn't have good pitchers. OPCY never mattered. New Yankee Stadium is a bandbox, yet the Yankees pitchers seem to survive just fine.

So if Camden Yards never mattered, it never mattered.  The Wall is fine, then.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Maybe. But the Os offense has been one of the best in the league anyway. They may be better but how much better would they be?  
 

The pitching would undoubtedly be worse.  We aren’t throwing a lot of elite guys up there.

They won't get even less elite based on the dimensions. Dean Kremer giving up five more home runs a year because the LF wall is closer doesn't mean he suddenly becomes a worse pitcher. Him out-dueling Nestor Cortes in a 5-4 win is the same as him doing it in a 4-3 win. It doesn't make any intuitive sense to me that park effects wouldn't have an ultimately neutral impact on both home and visiting pitching staffs.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Moose Milligan said:

So if Camden Yards never mattered, it never mattered.  The Wall is fine, then.

It becomes an aesthetic question then, both in terms of visuals and style of play. That'll be a matter of taste for everyone, of course.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, deward said:

They won't get even less elite based on the dimensions. Dean Kremer giving up five more home runs a year because the LF wall is closer doesn't mean he suddenly becomes a worse pitcher. Him out-dueling Nestor Cortes in a 5-4 win is the same as him doing it in a 4-3 win. It doesn't make any intuitive sense to me that park effects wouldn't have an ultimately neutral impact on both home and visiting pitching staffs.

I disagree and the mental aspect of things matters here. The Os pitching is better because of that wall. They are largely a fly ball staff.

Sure, maybe we score more runs…maybe but we undoubtedly give up a lot more runs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

I disagree and the mental aspect of things matters here. The Os pitching is better because of that wall. They are largely a fly ball staff.

Sure, maybe we score more runs…maybe but we undoubtedly give up a lot more runs.

What about the mental aspect of the hitters?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

I'd like to see more contact and OBP approach.

I saw this clip of Will Clark the other day...it's extremely NSFW and no one should listen if easily offended:

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DAv6zhvJ8L7/?igsh=MTE4amZhejd2NDhrdg%3D%3D

Couldn't help but think of our guys.

I really don't care about the Wall.  Anyone guessing about what the Wall does or doesn't do to our hitters is merely guessing and hypothesizing.  I'm sorry, but I don't care what it's allegedly done to Ryan Mountcastle.  

It helps our pitching, pure and simple.  For years we heard whining about how we'd never have good pitching because OPACY was a bandbox.

And now it's too cavernous?  Give me a break.

Yea.  I feel the same way.  I really do not care strongly one way or another.  Sure, I think it's kind of ugly.  I also think HR's came pretty cheap before.  I like the exciting defensive plays it fosters and of course the random triple & odd carom make for some fun and unique moments.  But I don't think it helps or hurts the team in any substantial way short of helping out the pitching a little.   I sure don't think the players are changing their approaches. 

If they keep it as is, that's fine with me.  If they modify it some way, that's fine with me as well. 

It does seem like there is some opportunity for some unique seats down there by modifying it slightly.  When I first saw it, it almost appeared like a construction Phase 1.  That might be reasoning for pushing it back so far, allows them some flexibility in the future.  

I also don't buy that a Free Agent RH hitter is going to care at all about the wall.   They are getting paid regardless.  I'd think that 1-maximizing payday 2-playing for a winner 3-finding a location that suits your family would be your priorities and your long-term stat line would be very close to the bottom of your list of concerns.  

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

I disagree and the mental aspect of things matters here. The Os pitching is better because of that wall. They are largely a fly ball staff.

Sure, maybe we score more runs…maybe but we undoubtedly give up a lot more runs.

I struggle to accept the argument that a guy who has made it to the major leagues will curl into the fetal position the first time he gives up a cheap home run and never recover. How much mental toughness does it take for a pitcher to understand park effects? The problem is none of this is provable, because the new dimensions coincide with the end of the tanking period. Any numbers from the tanking years should be thrown out, as those teams weren't build to be competitive. And the previous administrations were chronically bad at developing young pitchers, so it's hard to know how much of those pitchers struggling was due to the overall organizational environment, as opposed to issues with the park. So I can fall back on what seems logical to me, which is that everyone has to pitch with the same dimensions, and plenty of guys in past years have found success pitching in OPCY. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Can_of_corn said:

And maybe the pitching would still be solid, even with that.

For every plus in one column you have a negative in the other.

 Maybe it would be the staff, as a whole, is a fly ball staff that isn’t elite at missing bats or getting Ks. Balls get put in play vs them and it’s a lot of fly balls.  Common sense says shorter fences with flyball staff means more homers allowed…but maybe they would let us less extra base hits, so things could even out.

Its an assumption either way…but if you were betting on it, you would bet the pitching would be worse based off of the evidence we have.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Sports Guy said:

 Maybe it would be the staff, as a whole, is a fly ball staff that isn’t elite at missing bats or getting Ks. Balls get put in play vs them and it’s a lot of fly balls.  Common sense says shorter fences with flyball staff means more homers allowed…but maybe they would let us less extra base hits, so things could even out.

Its an assumption either way…but if you were betting on it, you would bet the pitching would be worse based off of the evidence we have.

Yea the pitching would be worse and the hitting would be even better.

Maybe you build the roster with more ground ball guys and fewer left handed hitters.

End result should be pretty much the same.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Yea the pitching would be worse and the hitting would be even better.

Maybe you build the roster with more ground ball guys and fewer left handed hitters.

End result should be pretty much the same.

 

Oh so now we are putting in another hypothetical that we are changing the roster.  Got it. 🤦‍♂️

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Oh so now we are putting in another hypothetical that we are changing the roster.  Got it. 🤦‍♂️

He built the team around the wall.

Of course without the wall there he would have built the roster differently.

But even without that, yea, as I said before anything it does to help the pitching hurts the offense to an equivalent degree.

It's a wash. 

For every pitcher that pitches scared because of the old dimensions you've got a hitter that can't adjust.

It's different, that doesn't mean better.

I've seen nothing to suggest it's more or less advantageous than the old dimensions.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, drdelaware said:

I still love the wall.   Just for the fact that it annoyed Aaron Judge.

We used to grouse about the ease of hitting HRs leading to FA pitchers avoiding us. Now apparently we grouse about the difficulty of hitting HRs leading to RH hitters avoiding us. 

It's the Oriole Way

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • I’m not so sure the bolded part is true. I think a lot of that last bit can have to do with small skills: situational hitting/running, above average play in close games, generally things that can be boiled down to “luck.” I didn’t see this years team as having a major talent discrepancy from the 2023 version.
    • As great as Gunnar is can’t assume he matches last year. That said I like the odds of the team as a whole matching what we did. 
    • The real improvement of this team will come from within.    The 3-5 players they bring in from outside the org will supplement the roster…maybe put it over the top but the real improvement will come from those already in the org.
    • Yeah. -Would love to keep Burnes but I seriously doubt it. -I have a lot of faith in Adley.  - Holliday has huge ceiling even if he isn’t ready to be elite.  - doesn’t always work this way but the better your closer is tends to help rest of pen 
    • Nice OP. Thanks for the effort. Like the chart. Surprised it hasn't received much response. You sum up a lot of what I hope for as well. I'd add: I think a full - healty year of Westy will be even more valuable. I think Gunnar has even more in the tank. I want - hope that Holliday can develop into the lead off hitter and OBP table setter we need. And, I so want Cowser to cut down on strike outs and continue to develop as a professional hitter. I think he has the potential to cover for the loss of Santander while Big K develops on the right side. A lot to hope for but I believe these youngsters have a lot of potential yet to tap. And oh yes - I want Mayo to make Roy and all of us proud! Thanks again for the effort! I look at pitching as if we have a base. I agree with your points 1 and 2.
    • Postgame Pedro Martinez and Dusty Baker critiquing Clase tripling up on his weaker pitch before the Carpenter heroics. 78% cutters on the season for Clase - the key PA went cutter-cutter-cutter-slider-slider-slider.
    • Full season of Eflin replaces at least some of Burnes. Anyone hoping for a Burnes replacement is going to be disappointed IMO. Replacing Kimbrel -1.1 WAR with Bautista should be a 3 WAR gain.  I agree we shouldn't count on Adley for 5-6 WAR. Hopefully he is good for 3-4.  I honestly have no idea what Elias will do. We are "good not great" just about everywhere on the roster except shortstop. We could probably do nothing and still win 80 games, maybe even 90. The problem is it gets extremely costly to add marginal talent to get from 90 to 100.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...