Orioles Talk
Michael "weams" Williams memorial Orioles chat
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Posts
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The main reason I don’t think Burnes’ AAV will top Cole’s is that the winning bidder won’t we getting Burnes’ age 29-30 seasons, which in Cole’s deal, figured to be the most valuable ones. In other words, you could look at Cole’s deal as having really been $46/$46/$46 - $36/$36/$36 - $26/$26/$26 in terms of actual expected value. That averages out to $36 mm AAV, but if you knocked off the age 29/30 seasons, the remainder would be 7/$$234, an AAV of $33.4 mm. So I’ll guess Burnes will get 7 years and something between $234 mm - $258 mm. -
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By CaptainRedbeard · Posted
One other consideration is the Yankees are going to be giving Soto a massive contract and their starting pitching has been quite good this year, so there’s a decent chance they won’t be all-in on Burnes. I’m not sure about the Dodgers. Those are the two clubs that can really go to a different stratosphere than any others when it comes to payroll, so the Orioles could find themselves primarily competing with the more typical big market teams. If the Yankees or Dodgers decide they want Burnes though, the Orioles aren’t getting him. -
By CaptainRedbeard · Posted
I think this is right, Boras’ initial asking price will be to top Cole’s deal but given Burnes’ age he will get 7 years. But I think he’ll “settle” for 7 years by narrowly going over Cole’s AAV, so something like 7 yr / $255 M. The one interesting wrinkle is that teams have often gone extra years for lower AAV for luxury tax purposes. The Orioles have somewhat of an “advantage” in that they could do a high AAV and still never come close to paying luxury tax. -
By Bemorewins · Posted
Here’s the thing (right now), we have 6 starters (one too many) and not enough good relievers (certainly none who can pitch more than an inning). Kremer has issues (this season) the more times that he does through the lineup (especially the third time through). It seems plausible to me that the switch given Kremer’s stuff would be better for everyone where Kremer may even at a tick in velo and be better at getting strikeouts as a reliever. And Irvin who has been an excellent starter (thus far) could continue in that role.
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