Jump to content

AM: Teams had legit interest in Hardy


Sports Guy

Recommended Posts

This discussion is mind numbing to me folks. Where is the actually debate in terms of pros and cons? Hardy HAD to be traded off of a VERY BAD Orioles team. I hear people saying that the Rays built their team with prospects, but where has that really gotten them? Well, they have a payroll of about $43M and are only 8 games out of first and 6.5 out of the wild card. Do you think the Rays could find 8-10 more wins with an additional $40M-$50M of payroll? Yeah, me too. The Ray get it folks, they let Crawford and Pena walk for draft picks and will add to their top-7 farm system while saving upwards of $30M.

Once again, does a good player on a losing team have more value than that same player on a winning team? Two top 100 prospects, that is what you could have gotten for Hardy. You are not likely to get a top-25 guy and a top-60 guy, but a top-50 guy and a top-75 guy in addition to a low level prospect would have been possible. We would have saved $7.5M in the process and while I know we would have needed a shortstop in 2012, why would we really need a star? What is he going to do to take us from 25+ games under .500 team with him to a 10+ game over .500 to have a chance in the AL? Keep in mind that that same player was on the exact same team that finished last in the AL East even though he was having a great year!

Pros:

Hardy contributes to the next Orioles winner

He continues this pace and the Orioles deal him next year in a market that is as weak as this years in middle infield talent.

He gets his own T-Shirt Tuesday and Bobblehead in 2012

Cons:

He accounts for $7.5M of the 2012 payroll

He can not net us two draft picks

He is an injury risk

He played for the 2011 Orioles who will run out mostly the same core of talent in 2012 and they finished last

Not trading Hardy provides a ripple affect as the Orioles not only have to pay him his money over the next 3 seasons, but they do not get the 2-3 young players that would be controlled at inexpensive prices over the next 5-6 years.

Let's just use a made-up trade for example. Hardy is traded to the Reds for Alonso and Billy Hamilton. Alonso was the #78 ranked prospect in 2011 per Baseball America and Hamilton was #50. You get a guy who could be a legit bat while playing 1B/LF and you get your next UTI and a replacement for Brian Roberts if you would ever prefer him to hit as a DH verses play the field. The rest of the lineup would be good enough to allow a guy like Roberts to DH as needed. Now we do not need to overpay for a quality UTI/Future second baseman or for an offensive upgrade at 1B/LF. So maybe this one move saves $20M+ from the 2012+ payroll.

They also kept Crawford and Pena after a 66-96 2007 season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 76
  • Created
  • Last Reply
If we trade Guthrie for Cozart and Hardy for Wheeler we may have possibly upgraded one spot in the rotation in 2012/2013 (who knows, Matusz was as close to a sure thing as pitchers get) and we'd massively downgrade at SS. How does that make the team better? And even if Wheeler is a massive upgrade over Guthrie we still have three rotation spots to fill which is exacerbated without Guthrie. So how is that not simply re-shuffling the deck chairs?

First of all, you would get more for Guthrie than just Cozart.

Secondly, you are also neglecting to mention the money saved.

And lastly, if Wheeler ends up being 5ish WAR pitcher and Cozart is a 2ish WAR SS than you have gotten better.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.




  • Posts

    • Well I sort of disagree here. You said guys have been bad to questionable. I think that’s wrong. I just think a few guys have been awful and that has really hurt us. I would absolutely give Washington more time. Brade and Kane are well liked but doubtful they want to play them much right now. A trade should be considered if things don’t improve.
    • Yeah, I'd rather keep him over Soto.  I mean Soto can't start.  Yes Soto was dominant at times out of the bullpen but he was also gasoline on a fire out of the bullpen.  I would rather pay Suarez $4 or 5 million, knowing he can start or pitch in the bullpen than Soto, knowing he can only start and is liable to melt down when needed most.  
    • It is funny how much Hays (the pre-2024 version anyway) matches the type of player they'll likely look for. I doubt that reunion happens though. 
    • Weird thing about Suarez is that MASN had this being a 2 year deal when they talked about him back in April. ”The Orioles made another smart move with Suárez by signing him to a two-year contract in September. They knew what they’d ask from him and how it could contradict, and they didn’t want to give him any reasons to resist.” https://www.masnsports.com/blog/another-look-at-how-suarez-came-to-the-orioles
    • Dam the mosquito is in my Jelly. Please go away
    • Elias is refusing to spend money that Rubenstein has made available.  Do you have any sources?
    • Outside Hamilton, I can't really think of any areas or invidivuals outside the line that have really stepped up.  Humphrey and Stephens have played okay but it certainly hasn't offset the complete zeroes that Eddie Jackson and Marcus Williams have been.  I don't think you want to pull Hamilton off SS even though he can handle deep zone assignments fine, because he's essentially a linebacker that can cover wide receivers and there's too much value in that in the box.  And I think that Roquan/Simpson look lost in pass coverage because the safeties behind them are playing like butt.  Besides Roquan wasn't ever really a great coverage safety, he was kind of okay at it but he was never like a Lavonte David or Fred Warner there.   I'm starting to wonder if we need to either trade for a FS and/or start giving Ardarius Washington more snaps.  He certainly doesn't look worse than Jackson/Williams at this point in his limited playing time.  In general i think safety is an undervalued position so we're likely to get good value in trade.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...