Bloomberg: The Gambler's Fallacy

[weams]

Gambler's fallacy makes baseball and life unfair: Bloomberg opinion http://s.oregonlive.com/uvektxY

[incubus]

A point in the automated strike zone column.

Good article, relevant to many fields.

[PA724_Oriole]

How would they know just by watching that a call was made due to gambles fallacy?

In other words, how could they distinguish a "make up call" between one they believe was made out of gamblers fallacy?

[weams]

A point in the automated strike zone column.

Good article, relevant to many fields.

I really liked it myself. Thanks.

[weams]

How would they know just by watching that a call was made due to gambles fallacy?

In other words, how could they distinguish a "make up call" between one they believe was made out of gamblers fallacy?

There are to be no make up calls.

[PA724_Oriole]

There are to be no make up calls.

Yea, thats what they say...

[Three Run Homer]

Interesting results and not at all what I would have expected, given the pervasive belief that pitchers with good control tend to get the benefit of the doubt on close calls, while pitchers who are all over the place do not.

[El Gordo]

There are to be no make up calls.

And you really believe that?

[foxfield]

I do I do I do believe.

[weams]

.9%. How many pitches are thrown in a game, 300? 350? So it happens about 3 times a game, based on this theory?

Of course, throwing a baseball is not the same as flipping a coin. The question is raised, "How often does an umpire call a strike after the last two pitches were called strikes". Maybe the real question is "How often does a pitcher throw a strike after the last two pitches were called strikes". Wouldn't a pitcher tend to go for the corners or get the batter to chase a pitch after the last two pitches were strikes?

You would assume so.